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Neighborhood · Ranked #28,095 of 84,120 nationally

Rosemont Eviction Risk: Moderate , Alexandria

Tract 51510200705 · Alexandria city, VA · pop 2,295 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

Tract 51510200705 sits in the Rosemont area of Alexandria eviction risk, VA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.3/10. Population here is 2,295. Cost burden runs 57% here against 41.2% across Alexandria City.

Risk score
5.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 37% Stable renters 28% Owners 35%
Tract context
Occupied units1,648
Renter share65.5%
SVI overall0.11
Poverty rate3.4%
Median income$113,714

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 4 tracts In Rosemont
Very High
Within parent city
45 th percentile
Rank, 45th percentileLowHigh
#27 of 48 tracts In Alexandria
Moderate
Within county
43 th percentile
Rank, 43rd percentileLowHigh
#28 of 48 tracts In Alexandria city
Moderate
Within state
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#370 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Alexandria and the region

Centroid at 38.8030, -77.0627 · click any tract to drill in

Why Rosemont scores 5.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Alexandria
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
3.4% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,435 rent vs county FMR
5.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Alexandria
3.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Alexandria
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Alexandria
5.5

How Rosemont compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Rosemont risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.3This tracttract 2007055.9Alexandriaparent city5.7Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 11

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Rosemont. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Rosemont

Severe burden reaches 30%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. The clearest offset is economic stress at 1/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10. This is renter territory: 66% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

On the high side, regional political climate reads 8.1/10. At $2,435 a month, rents run 17% over what the rest of Alexandria commands. Adults with no health insurance runs 4.3% against 11.3% nationally.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.3% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. That is riskier than roughly 67% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2/10. Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.1 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 51510200705

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51510200705?

Census tract 51510200705 in the Rosemont neighborhood scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51510200705?

Median gross rent is $2,435/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51510200705?

3.4% of residents in tract 51510200705 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,295.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51510200705?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 11th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 7th, household 3th, minority 49th, housing 54th.
Q5

Is tract 51510200705 considered part of Rosemont?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51510200705 fall within Rosemont (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 51510200705 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 51510200705 compare to Alexandria overall?

Tract 51510200705 scores 5.3/10, lower than the parent city of Alexandria at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Alexandria eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Alexandria

Top eight tracts in Alexandria ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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