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Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally

Rosemont Eviction Risk: Moderate , Alexandria

Tract 51510201500 · Alexandria city, VA · pop 4,166 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Tract 51510201500 sits in the Rosemont area of Alexandria eviction risk, VA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.8/10. 15% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well under the Alexandria City average of 41.2%.

Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4% Stable renters 24% Owners 72%
Tract context
Occupied units1,442
Renter share28.4%
SVI overall0.06
Poverty rate3.9%
Median income$223,103

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 4 tracts In Rosemont
Very Low
Within parent city
6 th percentile
Rank, 6th percentileLowHigh
#45 of 48 tracts In Alexandria
Very Low
Within county
13 th percentile
Rank, 13th percentileLowHigh
#42 of 48 tracts In Alexandria city
Very Low
Within state
73 th percentile
Rank, 73rd percentileLowHigh
#589 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Alexandria and the region

Centroid at 38.8137, -77.0649 · click any tract to drill in

Why Rosemont scores 4.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Alexandria
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
3.9% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,720 rent vs county FMR
6.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Alexandria
3.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Alexandria
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Alexandria
5.5

How Rosemont compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Rosemont risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.8This tracttract 2015005.9Alexandriaparent city5.7Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 6

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Rosemont. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Rosemont

The clearest offset is economic stress at 1/10. Average gross rent is $2,720, 30% above the Alexandria average. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 8.1/10. SNAP participation runs 3.7% against 15.2% nationally.

The voucher gap is 17.6%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Against the Alexandria City average of 5.7, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.9 points. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.4% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

On the national scale it lands near the 58th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Against average income of $223,103, annual rent is just 15%.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. 28% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 51510201500

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51510201500?

Census tract 51510201500 in the Rosemont neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51510201500?

Median gross rent is $2,720/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 15% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51510201500?

3.9% of residents in tract 51510201500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,166.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51510201500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 6th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 2th, household 15th, minority 32th, housing 21th.
Q5

Is tract 51510201500 considered part of Rosemont?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51510201500 fall within Rosemont (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 51510201500 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 51510201500 compare to Alexandria overall?

Tract 51510201500 scores 4.8/10, lower than the parent city of Alexandria at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Alexandria eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Alexandria

Top eight tracts in Alexandria ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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