Eviction Risk in Captains Row , Alexandria
Tract 51510202002 · Alexandria city, VA · pop 2,411 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
Census tract 51510202002 sits in the Captains Row neighborhood of Alexandria, Virginia. It has a population of 2,411 and an eviction-risk score of 6.1/10 (Elevated tier). 58% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 19% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $1,924/month against a median household income of $104,063 — roughly 22% rent-to-income at the medians.
Racial & ethnic composition
White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood — 2,293 residents. Source: ACS 5-year 2023 (Table B03002, tract level).
- Hispanic / Latino 13.4%
- White (non-Hispanic) 74.6%
- Black (non-Hispanic) 5.1%
- Asian (non-Hispanic) 3.3%
- Other / Multiracial 3.6%
How the 6.1/10 score is composed
| Signal | Score | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Filing rate (county) | 8.4 | Eviction Lab via counties |
| State political climate | 3.2 | states.state_political_baseline |
| Regional political climate | 8.1 | 2024 county presidential margin |
| Local political climate | 8.0 | Alexandria (inherited) |
| Rent control risk | 3.5 | Alexandria (inherited) |
| Eviction process difficulty | 5.5 | state law |
| Tenant organizing strength | 6.5 | Alexandria (inherited) |
| Housing court bias | 5.5 | Alexandria (inherited) |
| Economic stress (tract) | 1.0 | this tract poverty rate |
| Supply constraint (tract) | 3.3 | tract rent vs county FMR |
SVI percentile: 12
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 7%Socioeconomic
- 6%Household composition
- 40%Racial/ethnic minority
- 47%Housing & transportation
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Captains Row. Closest by composite score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 5.1%Housing insecurity
- 3.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 4.9%Food insecurity
- 3.2%SNAP enrollment
- 3.7%Transit barriers
- 4.5%No health insurance
- 12.7%Frequent mental distress
- 21.5%Any disability
About tract 51510202002
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51510202002?
Census tract 51510202002 in the Captains Row neighborhood scores 6.1/10 (Elevated tier). The composite blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent burden + poverty signals.
What is the median rent in tract 51510202002?
Median gross rent is $1,924/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
What is the poverty rate in tract 51510202002?
2.6% of residents in tract 51510202002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,411.
How socially vulnerable is tract 51510202002?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 12th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 7th, household 6th, minority 40th, housing 47th.
Is tract 51510202002 considered part of Captains Row?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51510202002 fall within Captains Row (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
What share of households in tract 51510202002 struggle to pay rent?
About 5.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.3% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.