Fort Ward Heights Eviction Risk: Lower , Alexandria
Tract 51510200105 · Alexandria city, VA · pop 4,549 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Landlord eviction risk in census tract 51510200105 (the Fort Ward Heights neighborhood of Alexandria, Virginia) comes in at 5.7/10, the Moderate tier. On the national scale it ranks #31,167 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 36% of renter households, a high level, and 21% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,520 a month while the average household earns $73,629 a year, roughly 25% of income at the averages. Renters make up 100% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Alexandria and the region
Centroid at 38.8328, -77.1135 · click any tract to drill in
Why Fort Ward Heights scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Fort Ward Heights compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 48
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 61%Socioeconomic
- 2%Household composition
- 86%Racial/ethnic minority
- 73%Housing & transportation
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Fort Ward Heights. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 17.8%Housing insecurity
- 11.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 20.4%Food insecurity
- 17.5%SNAP enrollment
- 11.0%Transit barriers
- 10.4%No health insurance
- 18.2%Frequent mental distress
- 29.3%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Fort Ward Heights
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 6.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Alexandria eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Alexandria City County average of 5.9 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 17.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 11.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is Black and White and ranks around the 48th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
About tract 51510200105
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51510200105?
What is the average rent in tract 51510200105?
What is the poverty rate in tract 51510200105?
How socially vulnerable is tract 51510200105?
Is tract 51510200105 considered part of Fort Ward Heights?
What share of households in tract 51510200105 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 51510200105 compare to Alexandria overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Alexandria
Top eight tracts in Alexandria ranked by composite eviction-risk score.