Neighborhood · Ranked #34,278 of 84,120 nationally

North Fairlington Eviction Risk: Moderate , Alexandria

Tract 51510200110 · Alexandria city, VA · pop 2,230 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Census tract 51510200110 covers part of the North Fairlington area of Alexandria, VA, and scores 4.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. Cost burden runs 21% here against 41.2% across Alexandria City.

Risk score

4.9

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 10% Stable renters 38% Owners 52%

Tract context

Occupied units1,620

Renter share48.5%

SVI overall0.05

Poverty rate0.3%

Median income$130,417

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Alexandria and the region

Centroid at 38.8367, -77.1029 · click any tract to drill in

Why North Fairlington scores 4.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Alexandria

8.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

8.1

State political climate

Virginia legislature & governorship

3.2

Economic stress

0.3% poverty · this tract

1.0

Supply constraint

$2,064 rent vs county FMR

3.9

Rent control risk

Inherited from Alexandria

3.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Alexandria

6.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Alexandria

5.5

How North Fairlington compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 5

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

5%Socioeconomic
2%Household composition
63%Racial/ethnic minority
28%Housing & transportation

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

7.6%Housing insecurity
4.7%Utility-shutoff threat
6.5%Food insecurity
4.4%SNAP enrollment
4.6%Transit barriers
5.1%No health insurance
14.0%Frequent mental distress
17.0%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in North Fairlington

The clearest offset is economic stress at 1/10. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10.

Disability prevalence runs 17.0% against 31.5% nationally. Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 8.1/10.

SNAP participation runs 4.4% against 15.2% nationally. It sits 0.8 points below the Alexandria City average of 5.7. That is riskier than roughly 59% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Social vulnerability reads 1.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

Poverty sits at 0%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Average gross rent is $2,064, close to the Alexandria average.

Annual rent works out to 19% of average household income of $130,417. 49% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 51510200110

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51510200110?

Census tract 51510200110 in the North Fairlington neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 51510200110?

Median gross rent is $2,064/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 21% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 51510200110?

0.3% of residents in tract 51510200110 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,230.

How socially vulnerable is tract 51510200110?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 5th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 5th, household 2th, minority 63th, housing 28th.

Is tract 51510200110 considered part of North Fairlington?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51510200110 fall within North Fairlington (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 51510200110 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 51510200110 compare to Alexandria overall?

Tract 51510200110 scores 4.9/10, lower than the parent city of Alexandria at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Alexandria eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Alexandria

Top eight tracts in Alexandria ranked by composite eviction-risk score.