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Neighborhood · Ranked #18,163 of 84,120 nationally

WestEnd Alexandria Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 51510200406 · Alexandria city, VA · pop 5,191 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

With a score of 6/10, tract 51510200406 in the WestEnd Alexandria area of Alexandria, VA reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,191 residents. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10.

Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 32% Stable renters 37% Owners 31%
Tract context
Occupied units2,389
Renter share69.4%
SVI overall0.56
Poverty rate3.4%
Median income$86,484

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 5 tracts In WestEnd Alexandria
Very Low
Within parent city
68 th percentile
Rank, 68th percentileLowHigh
#16 of 48 tracts In Alexandria
Elevated
Within county
68 th percentile
Rank, 68th percentileLowHigh
#16 of 48 tracts In Alexandria city
Elevated
Within state
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#126 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Alexandria and the region

Centroid at 38.8117, -77.1361 · click any tract to drill in

Why WestEnd Alexandria scores 6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Alexandria
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
3.4% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,814 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Alexandria
3.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Alexandria
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Alexandria
5.5

How WestEnd Alexandria compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
WestEnd Alexandria risk score vs. parent city / county / state6.0This tracttract 2004065.9Alexandriaparent city5.7Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 56

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within WestEnd Alexandria. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in WestEnd Alexandria

On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10. This is renter territory: 69% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

Running hot, regional political climate reads 8.1/10. 15% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Cost burden runs 46% here against 41.2% across Alexandria City. Average gross rent is $1,814, 13% below the Alexandria average. That is riskier than roughly 78% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.8 points hotter.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. It tracks the Alexandria City average of 5.7 closely.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 51510200406

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51510200406?

Census tract 51510200406 in the WestEnd Alexandria neighborhood scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51510200406?

Median gross rent is $1,814/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51510200406?

3.4% of residents in tract 51510200406 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,191.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51510200406?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 56th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 50th, household 8th, minority 85th, housing 84th.
Q5

Is tract 51510200406 considered part of WestEnd Alexandria?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51510200406 fall within WestEnd Alexandria (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 51510200406 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 51510200406 compare to Alexandria overall?

Tract 51510200406 scores 6/10, right in line with the parent city of Alexandria at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Alexandria eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Alexandria

Top eight tracts in Alexandria ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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