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Neighborhood · Arlington, VA

Fairlington Green Eviction Risk: Elevated

1 census tracts · pop 2,721 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.1/10 · range 6.1–6.1

Fairlington Green is a one-tract neighborhood of Arlington, VA, population 2,721. Scored across those inputs it reaches 6.1/10, placing it in the Elevated tier. 47% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, well clear of the Arlington rate of 26.5%.

This is a renter market: 88% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Severe burden reaches 26%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

Pulling the other way is economic stress, at 1.5/10. On the high side is tenant-organizing strength at 7/10.

SNAP participation is 6.3% of households versus 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity affects 9.1% of adults, 8.7 points below the national rate.

Among the 39 mapped neighborhoods of Arlington, it ranks #10 by risk, the upper third. Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Average gross rent runs $2,449, close to the Arlington average. Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $112,460.

One tract means one number: 6.1/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
6.1
Elevated
1 tracts · population-weighted
Fairlington Green vs Arlington How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
46.8% +77%
Arlington: 26.5%
Average gross rent
$2,449 +5%
Arlington: $2,322
Average HH income
$112,460 -20%
Arlington: $140,160
Poverty rate
6.0% -16%
Arlington: 7.1%
Renter share
88.1% +50%
Arlington: 58.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Fairlington Green and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 6.1–6.1

Why Fairlington Green scores 6.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.2–8.2 across tracts
8.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Rent control risk
47% of income on rent · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
88% renter households · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Economic stress
6.0% below poverty line · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 5.6–5.6 across tracts
5.6
Risk score comparison

Fairlington Green vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Fairlington Green score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Fairlington Green: 6.16.1Fairlington GreenNeighborhoodParent city: 6.06.0Parent cityhost cityState: 4.34.3Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Fairlington Green

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51013102904 6.1 2,721 47% $2,449
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 47

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 56%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 6%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 63%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 68%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Fairlington Green

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Fairlington Green

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Fairlington Green?

Fairlington Green scores 6.1/10 (Elevated tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Fairlington Green compare to Arlington overall?

Fairlington Green scores 0.1 points higher than Arlington overall (6/10). Renters spend 47% of income on rent vs 27% citywide. Average rent: $2,449 vs $2,322.
Q3

What is the average rent in Fairlington Green?

Average gross rent in Fairlington Green is $2,449/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Fairlington Green residents are renters?

88% of Fairlington Green households are renter-occupied (vs 59% in Arlington). The neighborhood has 2,721 residents.
Q5

Is Fairlington Green a high social-vulnerability area?

Fairlington Green sits in the 47th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Fairlington Green for landlords?

Fairlington Green carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.1/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Arlington as a whole (6/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Fairlington Green?

Fairlington Green has 2,789 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (51.7%), Hispanic / Latino (22.2%), Black (non-Hispanic) (13.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Fairlington Green

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Arlington

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Fairlington Green.

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