Virginia Square Eviction Risk: Moderate , Arlington
Tract 51013101402 · Arlington County, VA · pop 2,252 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
51013101402 is a census tract in the Virginia Square area of Arlington, VA. It scores 5.6/10 for landlords. Population here is 2,252. The dominant input is local political climate at 8.5/10.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Arlington and the region
Centroid at 38.8858, -77.1124 · click any tract to drill in
Why Virginia Square scores 5.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Virginia Square compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 15
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 9%Socioeconomic
- 4%Household composition
- 45%Racial/ethnic minority
- 60%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 2Total filings over 1 yrs
- 0.33%Avg annual filing rate
- 0.3%Peak (2016)
- 2Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Virginia Square. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 5.0%Housing insecurity
- 3.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 4.7%Food insecurity
- 2.9%SNAP enrollment
- 3.9%Transit barriers
- 4.5%No health insurance
- 13.6%Frequent mental distress
- 16.9%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Virginia Square
22% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.6/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 8.2/10.
Food insecurity runs 4.7% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 2.9% against 15.2% nationally.
The voucher gap is 19.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. At $2,761 a month, rents run 19% over what the rest of Arlington commands. The filing record is not thin: 2 evictions over 1 years of observation.
The worst year on record was 2016, when 0.3% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 0.3% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #22,681 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2.3/10.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
About tract 51013101402
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51013101402?
What is the average rent in tract 51013101402?
What is the poverty rate in tract 51013101402?
How socially vulnerable is tract 51013101402?
Is tract 51013101402 considered part of Virginia Square?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51013101402?
What share of households in tract 51013101402 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 51013101402 compare to Arlington overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Arlington
Top eight tracts in Arlington ranked by composite eviction-risk score.