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Neighborhood · Annandale, VA

Wilburdale Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 3,314 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.5/10 · range 4.5–4.5

Wilburdale is a one-tract neighborhood of Annandale, VA and houses 3,314 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 4.5/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. Cost burden runs 51% against 34.1% citywide, putting Wilburdale 16.7% over its own city.

The main counterweight is economic stress, at 1.7/10. The severe-burden share is 22%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.

On the high side is rent-regulation exposure at 8.2/10. Court records for this tract carry 93 eviction filings. Sitting well above the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength at 7.5/10.

Filing activity peaked in 2013 at 7.4% of renter households. At $2,124 a month, rents sit 10% over what the rest of Annandale commands.

Recent filings have not receded much: 6.0% in 2016 against a 7.4% peak. Among the 9 mapped neighborhoods of Annandale, it ranks #5 by risk, the middle third. Only 28% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

The closest comparables inside the same city are Sleepy Hollow Run and Hillbrook. Poverty sits at 7%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Annual rent works out to 20% of average household income of $124,911.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 4.5/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
4.5
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Wilburdale vs Annandale How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
50.8% +49%
Annandale: 34.1%
Average gross rent
$2,124 +10%
Annandale: $1,933
Average HH income
$124,911 +11%
Annandale: $112,872
Poverty rate
6.8% -35%
Annandale: 10.5%
Renter share
27.6% -20%
Annandale: 34.6%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Wilburdale and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4.5–4.5

Why Wilburdale scores 4.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.1–7.1 across tracts
7.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.4–8.4 across tracts
8.4
Rent control risk
51% of income on rent · Range 8.2–8.2 across tracts
8.2
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.3–3.3 across tracts
3.3
Tenant organizing strength
28% renter households · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Economic stress
6.8% below poverty line · Range 1.7–1.7 across tracts
1.7
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.2–4.2 across tracts
4.2
Risk score comparison

Wilburdale vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Wilburdale score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Wilburdale: 4.54.5WilburdaleNeighborhoodParent city: 4.54.5Parent cityhost cityState: 4.34.3Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Wilburdale

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51059452102 4.5 3,314 51% $2,124
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 71

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 56%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 48%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 74%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 86%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Wilburdale

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 93Total filings (sum)
  • 6.10%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.4%Peak year (2013)
  • 6.00%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Wilburdale

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Wilburdale

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Wilburdale?

Wilburdale scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Wilburdale compare to Annandale overall?

Wilburdale scores 0.0 points higher than Annandale overall (4.5/10). Renters spend 51% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $2,124 vs $1,933.
Q3

What is the average rent in Wilburdale?

Average gross rent in Wilburdale is $2,124/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Wilburdale residents are renters?

28% of Wilburdale households are renter-occupied (vs 35% in Annandale). The neighborhood has 3,314 residents.
Q5

Is Wilburdale a high social-vulnerability area?

Wilburdale sits in the 71st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Wilburdale for landlords?

Wilburdale carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.5/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Annandale as a whole (4.5/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Wilburdale?

Wilburdale has 3,114 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (41.7%), Hispanic / Latino (22.2%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (19.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Wilburdale

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Annandale

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Wilburdale.

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