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Neighborhood · Annandale, VA

Wilburdale Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 3,314 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.5/10 · range 4.5–4.5

Wilburdale is a one-tract neighborhood of Annandale, VA and houses 3,314 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 4.5/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. Cost burden runs 51% against 34.1% citywide, putting Wilburdale 16.7% over its own city.

The main counterweight is economic stress, at 1.7/10. The severe-burden share is 22%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.

On the high side is rent-regulation exposure at 8.2/10. Court records for this tract carry 93 eviction filings. Sitting well above the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength at 7.5/10.

Filing activity peaked in 2013 at 7.4% of renter households. At $2,124 a month, rents sit 10% over what the rest of Annandale commands.

Recent filings have not receded much: 6.0% in 2016 against a 7.4% peak. Among the 9 mapped neighborhoods of Annandale, it ranks #5 by risk, the middle third. Only 28% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

The closest comparables inside the same city are Sleepy Hollow Run and Hillbrook. Poverty sits at 7%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Annual rent works out to 20% of average household income of $124,911.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 4.5/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
4.5
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Wilburdale vs Annandale How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
50.8% +49%
Annandale: 34.1%
Average gross rent
$2,124 +10%
Annandale: $1,933
Average HH income
$124,911 +11%
Annandale: $112,872
Poverty rate
6.8% -35%
Annandale: 10.5%
Renter share
27.6% -20%
Annandale: 34.6%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Wilburdale and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4.5–4.5

Why Wilburdale scores 4.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.1–7.1 across tracts
7.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.4–8.4 across tracts
8.4
Rent control risk
51% of income on rent · Range 8.2–8.2 across tracts
8.2
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.3–3.3 across tracts
3.3
Tenant organizing strength
28% renter households · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Economic stress
6.8% below poverty line · Range 1.7–1.7 across tracts
1.7
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.2–4.2 across tracts
4.2
Risk score comparison

Wilburdale vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Wilburdale score vs. parent city, state, U.S.4.5WilburdaleNeighborhood4.5Parent cityhost city4.3Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Wilburdale

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕ Score↕ Pop↕ % over 30% on rent↕ Average rent↕
51059452102 4.5 3,314 51% $2,124
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 71

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 56%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 48%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 74%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 86%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Wilburdale

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 93Total filings (sum)
  • 6.10%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.4%Peak year (2013)
  • 6.00%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Wilburdale

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Wilburdale

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Wilburdale?

Wilburdale scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Wilburdale compare to Annandale overall?

Wilburdale scores 0.0 points higher than Annandale overall (4.5/10). Renters spend 51% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $2,124 vs $1,933.
Q3

What is the average rent in Wilburdale?

Average gross rent in Wilburdale is $2,124/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Wilburdale residents are renters?

28% of Wilburdale households are renter-occupied (vs 35% in Annandale). The neighborhood has 3,314 residents.
Q5

Is Wilburdale a high social-vulnerability area?

Wilburdale sits in the 71st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Wilburdale for landlords?

Wilburdale carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.5/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Annandale as a whole (4.5/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Wilburdale?

Wilburdale has 3,114 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (41.7%), Hispanic / Latino (22.2%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (19.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Wilburdale

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Annandale

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Wilburdale.

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