1 census tracts · pop 5,430 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7.7/10
· range 7.7–7.7
Glen Forest is a one-tract neighborhood of Bailey's Crossroads, VA and houses 5,430 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 7.7/10, in the Elevated tier. Cost burden runs 57% against 34.7% citywide, putting Glen Forest 21.9% over its own city.
32% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. What pushes the score up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.4/10. This is a renter market: 71% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.
On the high side is rent-regulation exposure at 8.2/10. Sitting well above the midpoint is housing-court posture at 8.2/10.
The filing record is not thin: 374 evictions logged in this tract. The poverty rate is 17%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
The worst year on record was 2011, when filings touched 8.0% of renter households. Recent filings have not receded much: 5.3% in 2016 against a 8.0% peak. That places it #1 of 4 neighborhoods in Bailey's Crossroads.
For a like-for-like read, Dowden Terrace and Skyline score within a fraction of it. Social vulnerability runs high at 8.5/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.
One tract means one number: 7.7/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
7.7
Elevated
1 tracts · population-weighted
Glen Forest vs Bailey's CrossroadsHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority70%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport81%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Glen Forest
Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
374Total filings (sum)
6.23%Avg annual filing rate
8.0%Peak year (2011)
5.33%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Glen Forest
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
11.7%Housing insecurity
7.1%Utility shutoff threat
14.2%Food insecurity
10.3%SNAP enrollment
12.1%No health insurance
29.3%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Glen Forest
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Glen Forest?
Glen Forest scores 7.7/10 (Elevated tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Glen Forest compare to Bailey's Crossroads overall?
Glen Forest scores 1.4 points higher than Bailey's Crossroads overall (6.3/10). Renters spend 57% of income on rent vs 35% citywide. Average rent: $2,026 vs $2,021.
Q3
What is the average rent in Glen Forest?
Average gross rent in Glen Forest is $2,026/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Glen Forest residents are renters?
71% of Glen Forest households are renter-occupied (vs 52% in Bailey's Crossroads). The neighborhood has 5,430 residents.
Q5
Is Glen Forest a high social-vulnerability area?
Glen Forest sits in the 83rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
How safe is Glen Forest for landlords?
Glen Forest carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7.7/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Bailey's Crossroads as a whole (6.3/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7
What is the demographic breakdown of Glen Forest?
Glen Forest has 5,446 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (47.2%), Hispanic / Latino (28.6%), Other / Multiracial (9.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
