1 census tracts · pop 5,953 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.5/10
· range 3.5–3.5
Five Forks maps to a single census tract in Burke, VA, population 5,953. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 3.5/10, Lower tier. Against a Burke baseline of 24.7%, 64% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.
The clearest offset is economic stress, at 1/10. The severe-burden share is 14%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. Court records for this tract carry 31 eviction filings.
On the softer side is tenant-organizing strength, at 2.9/10. The voucher gap is 12.1%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears.
SNAP participation is 6.7% of households versus 15.2% nationally. The worst year on record was 2011, when filings touched 3.8% of renter households. Average gross rent is $2,595, 10% below the Burke average of $2,894.
Recent filings have not receded much: 2.5% in 2016 against a 3.8% peak. That places it #2 of 6 neighborhoods in Burke.
Only 12% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. The closest comparables inside the same city are Keene Mill Heights and Burke Village. Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
Because the boundary contains one tract, 3.5/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
3.5
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Five Forks vs BurkeHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority74%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport17%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Five Forks
Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
31Total filings (sum)
2.93%Avg annual filing rate
3.8%Peak year (2011)
2.46%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Five Forks
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
8.6%Housing insecurity
5.1%Utility shutoff threat
10.4%Food insecurity
6.7%SNAP enrollment
8.1%No health insurance
23.8%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Five Forks
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Five Forks?
Five Forks scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Five Forks compare to Burke overall?
Five Forks scores 0.5 points lower than Burke overall (4/10). Renters spend 64% of income on rent vs 25% citywide. Average rent: $2,595 vs $2,894.
Q3
What is the average rent in Five Forks?
Average gross rent in Five Forks is $2,595/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Five Forks residents are renters?
12% of Five Forks households are renter-occupied (vs 10% in Burke). The neighborhood has 5,953 residents.
Q5
Is Five Forks a high social-vulnerability area?
Five Forks sits in the 42nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
How safe is Five Forks for landlords?
Five Forks carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.5/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Burke as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7
What is the demographic breakdown of Five Forks?
Five Forks has 6,001 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (41.6%), Hispanic / Latino (24.8%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (20.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
