1 census tracts · pop 6,664 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.4/10
· range 3.4–3.4
Cardinal Forest is a one-tract neighborhood of Kings Park, VA and houses 6,664 people. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 3.4/10, Lower tier. Severe burden reaches 42%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.
Cost burden runs 67% against 43.2% citywide, putting Cardinal Forest 23.6% over its own city. The main counterweight is economic stress, at 1/10. Sitting well above the midpoint is rent-regulation exposure at 8.6/10.
On the softer side is tenant-organizing strength, at 2.3/10. The voucher gap is 16.8%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears.
At $2,702 a month, rents sit 17% under what the rest of Kings Park commands. The filing record is not thin: 20 evictions logged in this tract. SNAP participation is 4.4% of households versus 15.2% nationally.
Food insecurity affects 7.5% of adults, 10.3 points below the national rate. Filing activity peaked in 2011 at 2.3% of renter households. Recent filings have not receded much: 1.6% in 2016 against a 2.3% peak.
At 10% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out.
One tract means one number: 3.4/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
3.4
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Cardinal Forest vs Kings ParkHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority63%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport9%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Cardinal Forest
Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
20Total filings (sum)
1.96%Avg annual filing rate
2.3%Peak year (2011)
1.61%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Cardinal Forest
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
6.8%Housing insecurity
3.9%Utility shutoff threat
7.5%Food insecurity
4.4%SNAP enrollment
6.8%No health insurance
21.9%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Cardinal Forest
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Cardinal Forest?
Cardinal Forest scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Cardinal Forest compare to Kings Park overall?
Cardinal Forest scores 0.6 points lower than Kings Park overall (4/10). Renters spend 67% of income on rent vs 43% citywide. Average rent: $2,702 vs $3,239.
Q3
What is the average rent in Cardinal Forest?
Average gross rent in Cardinal Forest is $2,702/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 67% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Cardinal Forest residents are renters?
10% of Cardinal Forest households are renter-occupied (vs 8% in Kings Park). The neighborhood has 6,664 residents.
Q5
Is Cardinal Forest a high social-vulnerability area?
Cardinal Forest sits in the 21st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
How safe is Cardinal Forest for landlords?
Cardinal Forest carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.4/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Kings Park as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7
What is the demographic breakdown of Cardinal Forest?
Cardinal Forest has 6,772 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (64.9%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (17.1%), Hispanic / Latino (9.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
