1 census tracts · pop 5,156 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.6/10
· range 3.6–3.6
Lucas Pond is a one-tract neighborhood of Burke Centre, VA and houses 5,156 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 3.6/10, in the Lower tier. Pulling the other way is economic stress, at 1.2/10.
Cost burden runs 34% against 27.3% citywide, putting Lucas Pond 6.6% over its own city. CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 6.0% of adults, against 14.2% nationally.
Court records for this tract carry 19 eviction filings. SNAP participation is 4.1% of households versus 15.2% nationally.
Running cool is eviction-process difficulty, at 3/10. Filing activity peaked in 2011 at 4.5% of renter households.
At $2,307 a month, rents sit 8% under what the rest of Burke Centre commands. The most recent observed rate, 1.5% in 2016, is well off that peak. Among the 4 mapped neighborhoods of Burke Centre, it ranks #2 by risk, the middle third.
At 10% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out. Against average income of $191,250, annual rent is only 14%, a wide affordability cushion. Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
Because the boundary contains one tract, 3.6/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
3.6
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Lucas Pond vs Burke CentreHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority59%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport9%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Lucas Pond
Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
19Total filings (sum)
2.27%Avg annual filing rate
4.5%Peak year (2011)
1.53%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Lucas Pond
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
6.0%Housing insecurity
3.7%Utility shutoff threat
6.7%Food insecurity
4.1%SNAP enrollment
5.6%No health insurance
22.0%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Lucas Pond
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Lucas Pond?
Lucas Pond scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Lucas Pond compare to Burke Centre overall?
Lucas Pond scores 0.4 points lower than Burke Centre overall (4/10). Renters spend 34% of income on rent vs 27% citywide. Average rent: $2,307 vs $2,515.
Q3
What is the average rent in Lucas Pond?
Average gross rent in Lucas Pond is $2,307/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Lucas Pond residents are renters?
10% of Lucas Pond households are renter-occupied (vs 19% in Burke Centre). The neighborhood has 5,156 residents.
Q5
Is Lucas Pond a high social-vulnerability area?
Lucas Pond sits in the 7th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
How safe is Lucas Pond for landlords?
Lucas Pond carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.6/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Burke Centre as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7
What is the demographic breakdown of Lucas Pond?
Lucas Pond has 5,141 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (59.2%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (18.2%), Other / Multiracial (10%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
