1 census tracts · pop 2,560 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.7/10
· range 3.7–3.7
Heron Pond / Pond Spice maps to a single census tract in Burke Centre, VA, population 2,560. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 3.7/10, in the Lower tier. The clearest offset is economic stress, at 1.2/10.
Severe burden reaches 23%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. 35% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, higher than the Burke Centre rate of 27.3%. Court records for this tract carry 80 eviction filings.
Running cool is eviction-process difficulty, at 3/10. SNAP participation is 5.2% of households versus 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity affects 8.4% of adults, 9.4 points below the national rate.
Filing activity peaked in 2013 at 6.6% of renter households. At $2,283 a month, rents sit 9% under what the rest of Burke Centre commands. Recent filings have not receded much: 4.9% in 2016 against a 6.6% peak.
That places it #1 of 4 neighborhoods in Burke Centre. The closest comparables inside the same city are Quiet Pond and Lucas Pond.
One tract means one number: 3.7/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
3.7
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Heron Pond / Pond Spice vs Burke CentreHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority68%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport34%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Heron Pond / Pond Spice
Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
80Total filings (sum)
4.12%Avg annual filing rate
6.6%Peak year (2013)
4.89%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Heron Pond / Pond Spice
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
7.8%Housing insecurity
4.7%Utility shutoff threat
8.4%Food insecurity
5.2%SNAP enrollment
6.8%No health insurance
20.2%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Heron Pond / Pond Spice
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Heron Pond / Pond Spice?
Heron Pond / Pond Spice scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Heron Pond / Pond Spice compare to Burke Centre overall?
Heron Pond / Pond Spice scores 0.3 points lower than Burke Centre overall (4/10). Renters spend 35% of income on rent vs 27% citywide. Average rent: $2,283 vs $2,515.
Q3
What is the average rent in Heron Pond / Pond Spice?
Average gross rent in Heron Pond / Pond Spice is $2,283/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Heron Pond / Pond Spice residents are renters?
43% of Heron Pond / Pond Spice households are renter-occupied (vs 19% in Burke Centre). The neighborhood has 2,560 residents.
Q5
Is Heron Pond / Pond Spice a high social-vulnerability area?
Heron Pond / Pond Spice sits in the 29th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
How safe is Heron Pond / Pond Spice for landlords?
Heron Pond / Pond Spice carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.7/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Burke Centre as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q7
What is the demographic breakdown of Heron Pond / Pond Spice?
Heron Pond / Pond Spice has 2,503 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (44.6%), Hispanic / Latino (18.4%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (14.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
