1 census tracts · pop 4,163 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.7/10
· range 3.7–3.7
Holmes Run Acres maps to a single census tract in West Falls Church, VA and houses 4,163 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 3.7/10, placing it in the Lower tier. 16% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, well below the West Falls Church rate of 28.0%.
Average gross rent is $2,828, 37% above the West Falls Church average of $2,066. Pulling the other way is economic stress, at 1/10.
The voucher gap is 22.2%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. Sitting well above the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength at 7.3/10. The filing record is not thin: 22 evictions logged in this tract.
SNAP participation is 4.1% of households versus 15.2% nationally. 3.6% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, below a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
Running hot is supply constraint at 7.2/10. Filing activity peaked in 2011 at 7.3% of renter households.
The most recent observed rate, 3.9% in 2016, is well off that peak. Among the 8 mapped neighborhoods of West Falls Church, it ranks #7 by risk, the lower third.
Only 14% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. The closest comparables inside the same city are Marlo Heights and Valley Brook.
Rent takes 18% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market. Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
Because the boundary contains one tract, 3.7/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
3.7
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Holmes Run Acres vs West Falls ChurchHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority68%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport16%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Holmes Run Acres
Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
22Total filings (sum)
4.89%Avg annual filing rate
7.3%Peak year (2011)
3.93%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Holmes Run Acres
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
6.3%Housing insecurity
3.6%Utility shutoff threat
7.1%Food insecurity
4.1%SNAP enrollment
6.7%No health insurance
21.3%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Holmes Run Acres
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Holmes Run Acres?
Holmes Run Acres scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Holmes Run Acres compare to West Falls Church overall?
Holmes Run Acres scores 0.6 points lower than West Falls Church overall (4.3/10). Renters spend 16% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $2,828 vs $2,066.
Q3
What is the average rent in Holmes Run Acres?
Average gross rent in Holmes Run Acres is $2,828/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 16% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Holmes Run Acres residents are renters?
14% of Holmes Run Acres households are renter-occupied (vs 33% in West Falls Church). The neighborhood has 4,163 residents.
Q5
Is Holmes Run Acres a high social-vulnerability area?
Holmes Run Acres sits in the 31st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
How safe is Holmes Run Acres for landlords?
Holmes Run Acres carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.7/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to West Falls Church as a whole (4.3/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7
What is the demographic breakdown of Holmes Run Acres?
Holmes Run Acres has 4,015 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (48.4%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (28%), Hispanic / Latino (17.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
