Neighborhood · Short Pump, VA

Kensington Green at Wellesley Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 2,959 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 1.7/10 · range 1.7–1.7

Kensington Green at Wellesley is a white-asian neighborhood in Short Pump with 1 census tract and a population of 2,959 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 1.7/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 40% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 13% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,800/month sits 3% lower than the Short Pump citywide average ($1,847).

Risk score

1.7

Lower

1 tracts · population-weighted

Kensington Green at Wellesley vs Short Pump How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

40.0% +55%

Short Pump: 25.8%

Average gross rent

$1,800 -3%

Short Pump: $1,847

Average HH income

$121,091 -8%

Short Pump: $132,194

Poverty rate

6.5% +49%

Short Pump: 4.4%

Renter share

41.1% -2%

Short Pump: 42.2%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Kensington Green at Wellesley and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 1.7–1.7

Why Kensington Green at Wellesley scores 1.7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts

3.2

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts

6.5

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 4.3–4.3 across tracts

4.3

Rent control risk

40% of income on rent · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts

4.5

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts

3.5

Tenant organizing strength

41% renter households · Range 8.6–8.6 across tracts

8.6

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 3.7–3.7 across tracts

3.7

Economic stress

6.5% below poverty line · Range 1.6–1.6 across tracts

1.6

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts

5.5

Risk score comparison

Kensington Green at Wellesley vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in Kensington Green at Wellesley

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
51087200141	1.7	2,959	40%	$1,800

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 21

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 12%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 4%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 66%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 68%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Kensington Green at Wellesley

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

6.8%Housing insecurity
4.2%Utility shutoff threat
7.2%Food insecurity
4.7%SNAP enrollment
5.1%No health insurance
21.0%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Kensington Green at Wellesley

What is the eviction-risk score for Kensington Green at Wellesley?

Kensington Green at Wellesley scores 1.7/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Kensington Green at Wellesley compare to Short Pump overall?

Kensington Green at Wellesley scores 1.4 points lower than Short Pump overall (3.1/10). Renters spend 40% of income on rent vs 26% citywide. Average rent: $1,800 vs $1,847.

What is the average rent in Kensington Green at Wellesley?

Average gross rent in Kensington Green at Wellesley is $1,800/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Kensington Green at Wellesley residents are renters?

41% of Kensington Green at Wellesley households are renter-occupied (vs 42% in Short Pump). The neighborhood has 2,959 residents.

Is Kensington Green at Wellesley a high social-vulnerability area?

Kensington Green at Wellesley sits in the 21st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is Kensington Green at Wellesley for landlords?

Kensington Green at Wellesley carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (1.7/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Short Pump as a whole (3.1/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Kensington Green at Wellesley?

Kensington Green at Wellesley has 2,868 residents (White-Asian Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (54.3%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (33.4%), Black (non-Hispanic) (5.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Kensington Green at Wellesley

1.6 Barrington Valley 2 tracts · pop 5,553 1.2 Addison at Wyndham 2 tracts · pop 7,429 3 Wedgewood 3 tracts · pop 10,047 2.9 Grayson Hill 2 tracts · pop 10,031 2 Laurel Lakes 2 tracts · pop 10,729 3.7 Sweet Briar Park 5 tracts · pop 15,354

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Short Pump

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Kensington Green at Wellesley.

1.7 Barrington Valley 2 tracts · pop 5,553 1.5 Gayton Park 1 tracts · pop 4,801 1.9 Timberline Village 1 tracts · pop 4,059 1.4 Bridlewood 1 tracts · pop 5,066 1.2 Huntwick at Wellesley 1 tracts · pop 3,982 1.1 Addison at Wyndham 2 tracts · pop 7,429

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