Kensington Green at Wellesley Eviction Risk: Lower
1 census tracts · pop 2,959 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3/10
· range 3–3
Kensington Green at Wellesley is a one-tract neighborhood of Short Pump, VA, population 2,959. Scored across those inputs it reaches 3/10, placing it in the Lower tier. 40% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, clearly above the Short Pump rate of 25.8%.
The strongest single driver of the headline number is tenant-organizing strength at 8.6/10. On the softer side is economic stress, at 1.6/10. 13% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.
CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 6.8% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. 5.1% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt. Among the 8 mapped neighborhoods of Short Pump, it ranks #1 by risk, the upper third.
Against average income of $121,091, annual rent is only 18%, a wide affordability cushion. Poverty sits at 7%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
Average gross rent runs $1,800, close to the Short Pump average. 41% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Because the boundary contains one tract, 3/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
3
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Kensington Green at Wellesley vs Short PumpHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority66%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport68%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Kensington Green at Wellesley
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
6.8%Housing insecurity
4.2%Utility shutoff threat
7.2%Food insecurity
4.7%SNAP enrollment
5.1%No health insurance
21.0%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Kensington Green at Wellesley
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Kensington Green at Wellesley?
Kensington Green at Wellesley scores 3/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Kensington Green at Wellesley compare to Short Pump overall?
Kensington Green at Wellesley scores 0.1 points lower than Short Pump overall (3.1/10). Renters spend 40% of income on rent vs 26% citywide. Average rent: $1,800 vs $1,847.
Q3
What is the average rent in Kensington Green at Wellesley?
Average gross rent in Kensington Green at Wellesley is $1,800/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Kensington Green at Wellesley residents are renters?
41% of Kensington Green at Wellesley households are renter-occupied (vs 42% in Short Pump). The neighborhood has 2,959 residents.
Q5
Is Kensington Green at Wellesley a high social-vulnerability area?
Kensington Green at Wellesley sits in the 21st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
How safe is Kensington Green at Wellesley for landlords?
Kensington Green at Wellesley carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Short Pump as a whole (3.1/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q7
What is the demographic breakdown of Kensington Green at Wellesley?
Kensington Green at Wellesley has 2,868 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (54.3%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (33.4%), Black (non-Hispanic) (5.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
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