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Neighborhood · Brambleton, VA

Gray Falcon Station Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 2,523 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.9/10 · range 3.9–3.9

Gray Falcon Station maps to a single census tract in Brambleton, VA and houses 2,523 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 3.9/10, in the Lower tier. The clearest offset is economic stress, at 1.1/10.

27% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. Well under the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty, at 2.9/10. SNAP participation is 5.9% of households versus 15.2% nationally.

Sitting well above the midpoint is rent-regulation exposure at 7.1/10. Food insecurity affects 9.0% of adults, 8.8 points below the national rate. Rent consumes at least 30% of income for 36% of renter households.

At $2,282 a month, rents sit 8% under what the rest of Brambleton commands. Against average income of $145,972, annual rent is only 19%, a wide affordability cushion.

Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. 49% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

One tract means one number: 3.9/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
3.9
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Gray Falcon Station vs Brambleton How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
36.1% -3%
Brambleton: 37.2%
Average gross rent
$2,282 -8%
Brambleton: $2,479
Average HH income
$145,972 -42%
Brambleton: $250,001
Poverty rate
4.3% +62%
Brambleton: 2.7%
Renter share
48.8% +228%
Brambleton: 14.9%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Gray Falcon Station and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3.9–3.9

Why Gray Falcon Station scores 3.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.3–6.3 across tracts
6.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.6–6.6 across tracts
6.6
Rent control risk
36% of income on rent · Range 7.1–7.1 across tracts
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.9–2.9 across tracts
2.9
Tenant organizing strength
49% renter households · Range 4.2–4.2 across tracts
4.2
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.7–4.7 across tracts
4.7
Economic stress
4.3% below poverty line · Range 1.1–1.1 across tracts
1.1
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.9–4.9 across tracts
4.9
Risk score comparison

Gray Falcon Station vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Gray Falcon Station score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Gray Falcon Statio: 3.93.9Gray Falcon StatioNeighborhoodParent city: 4.04.0Parent cityhost cityState: 4.34.3Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Gray Falcon Station

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51107611027 3.9 2,523 36% $2,282
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 38

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 17%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 46%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 68%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 59%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Gray Falcon Station

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Gray Falcon Station

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Gray Falcon Station?

Gray Falcon Station scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Gray Falcon Station compare to Brambleton overall?

Gray Falcon Station scores 0.1 points lower than Brambleton overall (4/10). Renters spend 36% of income on rent vs 37% citywide. Average rent: $2,282 vs $2,479.
Q3

What is the average rent in Gray Falcon Station?

Average gross rent in Gray Falcon Station is $2,282/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Gray Falcon Station residents are renters?

49% of Gray Falcon Station households are renter-occupied (vs 15% in Brambleton). The neighborhood has 2,523 residents.
Q5

Is Gray Falcon Station a high social-vulnerability area?

Gray Falcon Station sits in the 38th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Gray Falcon Station for landlords?

Gray Falcon Station carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.9/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Brambleton as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Gray Falcon Station?

Gray Falcon Station has 2,498 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (46.1%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (20.3%), Black (non-Hispanic) (19.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Gray Falcon Station

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Brambleton

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Gray Falcon Station.

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