1 census tracts · pop 7,529 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4/10
· range 4–4
Valley Springs maps to a single census tract in Purcellville, VA and houses 7,529 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 4/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. 41% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, well above the Purcellville rate of 27.8%.
26% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. The clearest offset is economic stress, at 1.3/10.
Running hot is rent-regulation exposure at 8.5/10. Court records for this tract carry 16 eviction filings. On the softer side is eviction-process difficulty, at 2.9/10.
SNAP participation is 6.5% of households versus 15.2% nationally. Filing activity peaked in 2016 at 3.9% of renter households.
Food insecurity affects 9.1% of adults, 8.7 points below the national rate. Judgments average 2.0% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.
Only 18% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Rent takes 18% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market. Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
Average gross rent runs $2,252, close to the Purcellville average.
One tract means one number: 4/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
4
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Valley Springs vs PurcellvilleHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority43%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport47%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Valley Springs
Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
16Total filings (sum)
3.91%Avg annual filing rate
3.9%Peak year (2016)
3.91%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Valley Springs
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
8.1%Housing insecurity
5.2%Utility shutoff threat
9.1%Food insecurity
6.5%SNAP enrollment
7.1%No health insurance
26.0%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Valley Springs
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Valley Springs?
Valley Springs scores 4/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Valley Springs compare to Purcellville overall?
Valley Springs scores 0.0 points higher than Purcellville overall (4/10). Renters spend 41% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $2,252 vs $2,222.
Q3
What is the average rent in Valley Springs?
Average gross rent in Valley Springs is $2,252/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Valley Springs residents are renters?
18% of Valley Springs households are renter-occupied (vs 10% in Purcellville). The neighborhood has 7,529 residents.
Q5
Is Valley Springs a high social-vulnerability area?
Valley Springs sits in the 37th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
How safe is Valley Springs for landlords?
Valley Springs carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Purcellville as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q7
What is the demographic breakdown of Valley Springs?
Valley Springs has 7,442 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (73.6%), Hispanic / Latino (13.8%), Black (non-Hispanic) (8.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
