Heathcote Village Eviction Risk: Lower

The clearest offset is economic stress, at 1/10. Average gross rent is $2,818, 25% above the Haymarket average of $2,259.

The voucher gap is 21.8%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. On the softer side is tenant-organizing strength, at 2.5/10.

The filing record is not thin: 7 evictions logged in this tract. SNAP participation is 4.6% of households versus 15.2% nationally. Well under the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty, at 2.8/10.

The worst year on record was 2016, when filings touched 2.0% of renter households. 5.2% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt.

Judgments average 0.9% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. At 12% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out. Rent takes 17% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market.

Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

One tract means one number: 3/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.