Neighborhood · Haymarket, VA

Heathcote Village Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 6,476 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 1/10 · range 1–1

Heathcote Village is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Haymarket with 1 census tract and a population of 6,476 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 1/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 44% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 0% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $2,818/month sits 25% higher than the Haymarket citywide average ($2,259).

Risk score

Lower

1 tracts · population-weighted

Heathcote Village vs Haymarket How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

44.0% +38%

Haymarket: 31.8%

Average gross rent

$2,818 +25%

Haymarket: $2,259

Average HH income

$196,369 +13%

Haymarket: $174,306

Poverty rate

1.8% -39%

Haymarket: 3.0%

Renter share

11.7% +53%

Haymarket: 7.6%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Heathcote Village and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 1–1

Why Heathcote Village scores 1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts

3.2

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.4–6.4 across tracts

6.4

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 6.6–6.6 across tracts

6.6

Rent control risk

44% of income on rent · Range 7.1–7.1 across tracts

7.1

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.8–2.8 across tracts

2.8

Tenant organizing strength

12% renter households · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts

2.5

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 4.8–4.8 across tracts

4.8

Economic stress

1.8% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts

1.0

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 7.2–7.2 across tracts

7.2

Risk score comparison

Heathcote Village vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in Heathcote Village

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
51153901510	1	6,476	44%	$2,818

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 3

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 1%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 29%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 53%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 3%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Heathcote Village

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

7Total filings (sum)
1.97%Avg annual filing rate
2.0%Peak year (2016)
1.97%Latest filed (2016)

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Heathcote Village

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

7.0%Housing insecurity
4.5%Utility shutoff threat
7.1%Food insecurity
4.6%SNAP enrollment
5.2%No health insurance
21.9%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Heathcote Village

What is the eviction-risk score for Heathcote Village?

Heathcote Village scores 1/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Heathcote Village compare to Haymarket overall?

Heathcote Village scores 2.4 points lower than Haymarket overall (3.4/10). Renters spend 44% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $2,818 vs $2,259.

What is the average rent in Heathcote Village?

Average gross rent in Heathcote Village is $2,818/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Heathcote Village residents are renters?

12% of Heathcote Village households are renter-occupied (vs 8% in Haymarket). The neighborhood has 6,476 residents.

Is Heathcote Village a high social-vulnerability area?

Heathcote Village sits in the 3rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is Heathcote Village for landlords?

Heathcote Village carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (1/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Haymarket as a whole (3.4/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Heathcote Village?

Heathcote Village has 6,380 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (63.8%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (12.9%), Hispanic / Latino (10.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Heathcote Village

2.1 Iron Gate 2 tracts · pop 9,000 1.7 Kerrydale 2 tracts · pop 12,361 2 The Heights 5 tracts · pop 26,016 1.1 Southlake 2 tracts · pop 12,342 2.6 Marumsco Village 3 tracts · pop 10,059 2.7 Marumsco Hills 2 tracts · pop 8,902

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Haymarket

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Heathcote Village.

1.1 Dartmoor Park 1 tracts · pop 7,010

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