Census Tract · Ranked #25,210 of 84,120 nationally

Mesa Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 04013421902 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 6,699

Census tract 04013421902 is in Mesa, Arizona. It has a population of 6,699 and an eviction-risk score of 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). 50% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 33% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $1,282/month against a median household income of $50,457 — roughly 30% rent-to-income at the medians.

Risk score

5.8

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 34% Stable renters 35% Owners 31%

Tract context

Occupied units1,672

Renter share69.1%

SVI overall0.98

Poverty rate37.2%

Median income$50,457

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Mesa and the region

Centroid at 33.4042, -111.8141 · click any tract to drill in

Why Mesa scores 5.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Mesa

3.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.1

State political climate

Arizona legislature & governorship

2.2

Economic stress

37.2% poverty · this tract

9.3

Supply constraint

$1,282 rent vs county FMR

1.6

Rent control risk

Inherited from Mesa

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

3.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Mesa

2.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Mesa

2.5

How Mesa compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 98

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

97%Socioeconomic
87%Household composition
86%Racial/ethnic minority
95%Housing & transportation

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

530Total filings over 5 yrs
11.04%Avg annual filing rate
13.5%Peak (2003)
80Filings in 2005 (latest validated)

Filings by year 2001 — 2005

Filings dropped 18% over the past 5 months.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

31.9%Housing insecurity
19.3%Utility-shutoff threat
46.5%Food insecurity
39.5%SNAP enrollment
22.8%Transit barriers
35.9%No health insurance
20.5%Frequent mental distress
43.9%Any disability

Frequently asked

About tract 04013421902

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013421902?

Census tract 04013421902 in Mesa scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 04013421902?

Median gross rent is $1,282/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013421902?

37.2% of residents in tract 04013421902 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,699.

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013421902?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 98th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 97th, household 87th, minority 86th, housing 95th.

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013421902?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 530 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013421902 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 11.04% of renter households, peaking at 13.5% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

What share of households in tract 04013421902 struggle to pay rent?

About 31.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 19.3% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 04013421902 compare to Mesa overall?

Tract 04013421902 scores 5.8/10 — higher than the parent city of Mesa at 3.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mesa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Mesa

Top eight tracts in Mesa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.