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Neighborhood · Goodyear, AZ

Canyon Trails Eviction Risk: Lower

3 census tracts · pop 14,357 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 1.9/10 · range 1.4–2.4

Canyon Trails is a hispanic-white neighborhood in Goodyear with 3 census tracts and a population of 14,357 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 1.9/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 32% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 16% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $2,024/month sits 3% higher than the Goodyear citywide average ($1,956).

Risk score
1.9
Lower
3 tracts · population-weighted
Canyon Trails vs Goodyear How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
32.3% -13%
Goodyear: 37.1%
Average gross rent
$2,024 +3%
Goodyear: $1,956
Average HH income
$103,887 +2%
Goodyear: $101,814
Poverty rate
5.6% -3%
Goodyear: 5.8%
Renter share
20.5% -8%
Goodyear: 22.3%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Canyon Trails and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 1.4–2.4

Why Canyon Trails scores 1.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts
2.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts
5.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.6–5.6 across tracts
5.6
Rent control risk
32% of income on rent · Range 8.3–8.3 across tracts
8.3
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.6–1.6 across tracts
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
21% renter households · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts
5.9
Economic stress
5.6% below poverty line · Range 1.0–2.3 across tracts
1.7
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.6–6.1 across tracts
5.4
Risk score comparison

Canyon Trails vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Canyon Trails score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Canyon Trails: 1.91.9Canyon TrailsNeighborhoodParent city: 2.52.5Parent cityhost cityState: 2.72.7Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Canyon Trails?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1 points from 1.4 to 2.4. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

3 tracts in Canyon Trails

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
04013061057 2.4 3,400 81% $1,958
04013061050 2.1 6,291 23% $2,170
04013061051 1.4 4,666 9% $1,875
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 39

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 44%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 43%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 73%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 23%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Canyon Trails

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Canyon Trails

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Canyon Trails?

Canyon Trails scores 1.9/10 (Lower tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Canyon Trails compare to Goodyear overall?

Canyon Trails scores 0.6 points lower than Goodyear overall (2.5/10). Renters spend 32% of income on rent vs 37% citywide. Average rent: $2,024 vs $1,956.
Q3

What is the average rent in Canyon Trails?

Average gross rent in Canyon Trails is $2,024/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 32% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Canyon Trails residents are renters?

21% of Canyon Trails households are renter-occupied (vs 22% in Goodyear). The neighborhood has 14,357 residents.
Q5

Is Canyon Trails a high social-vulnerability area?

Canyon Trails sits in the 39th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Canyon Trails have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Canyon Trails is census tract 04013061057 (score 2.4/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 1.4 to 2.4, a spread of 1 points.
Q7

How safe is Canyon Trails for landlords?

Canyon Trails carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (1.9/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Goodyear as a whole (2.5/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Canyon Trails?

Canyon Trails has 15,176 residents (Hispanic-White Neighborhood). Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (45.1%), White (non-Hispanic) (41.9%), Black (non-Hispanic) (5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Canyon Trails

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Goodyear

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Canyon Trails.

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