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Neighborhood · Goodyear, AZ

Canyon Trails Eviction Risk: Lower

3 census tracts · pop 14,357 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.3/10 · range 3–3.7

Canyon Trails spans 3 census tracts of Goodyear, AZ and houses 14,357 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 3.3/10, placing it in the Lower tier. The main counterweight is eviction-process difficulty, at 1.6/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint is rent-regulation exposure at 8.3/10. On the softer side is economic stress, at 1.7/10.

The severe-burden share is 16%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. Against a Goodyear baseline of 37.1%, roughly one in three of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

Among the 7 mapped neighborhoods of Goodyear, it ranks #4 by risk, the middle third. At 21% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out.

For a like-for-like read, Estrella Vista and Pebblecreek score within a fraction of it. Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Its 3 tracts score within 0.7 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses. Average gross rent runs $2,024, close to the Goodyear average. Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $103,887.

The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
3.3
Lower
3 tracts · population-weighted
Canyon Trails vs Goodyear How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
32.3% -13%
Goodyear: 37.1%
Average gross rent
$2,024 +3%
Goodyear: $1,956
Average HH income
$103,887 +2%
Goodyear: $101,814
Poverty rate
5.6% -3%
Goodyear: 5.8%
Renter share
20.5% -8%
Goodyear: 22.3%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Canyon Trails and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 3–3.7

Why Canyon Trails scores 3.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts
2.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts
5.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.6–5.6 across tracts
5.6
Rent control risk
32% of income on rent · Range 8.3–8.3 across tracts
8.3
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.6–1.6 across tracts
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
21% renter households · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts
5.9
Economic stress
5.6% below poverty line · Range 1.0–2.3 across tracts
1.7
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.6–6.1 across tracts
5.4
Risk score comparison

Canyon Trails vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Canyon Trails score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Canyon Trails: 3.33.3Canyon TrailsNeighborhoodParent city: 4.04.0Parent cityhost cityState: 3.63.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Canyon Trails?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 0.7 points from 3 to 3.7. Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

3 tracts in Canyon Trails

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
04013061057 3.7 3,400 81% $1,958
04013061050 3.3 6,291 23% $2,170
04013061051 3 4,666 9% $1,875
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 39

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 44%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 43%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 73%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 23%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Canyon Trails

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Canyon Trails

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Canyon Trails?

Canyon Trails scores 3.3/10 (Lower tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Canyon Trails compare to Goodyear overall?

Canyon Trails scores 0.7 points lower than Goodyear overall (4/10). Renters spend 32% of income on rent vs 37% citywide. Average rent: $2,024 vs $1,956.
Q3

What is the average rent in Canyon Trails?

Average gross rent in Canyon Trails is $2,024/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 32% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Canyon Trails residents are renters?

21% of Canyon Trails households are renter-occupied (vs 22% in Goodyear). The neighborhood has 14,357 residents.
Q5

Is Canyon Trails a high social-vulnerability area?

Canyon Trails sits in the 39th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Canyon Trails have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Canyon Trails is census tract 04013061057 (score 3.7/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 3.7, a spread of 0.7 points.
Q7

How safe is Canyon Trails for landlords?

Canyon Trails carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.3/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Goodyear as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Canyon Trails?

Canyon Trails has 15,176 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (45.1%), White (non-Hispanic) (41.9%), Black (non-Hispanic) (5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Canyon Trails

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Goodyear

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Canyon Trails.

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