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Neighborhood · Goodyear, AZ

Estrella Vista Eviction Risk: Lower

2 census tracts · pop 8,052 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.3/10 · range 3–4.1

Estrella Vista is a 2-tract neighborhood of Goodyear, AZ, population 8,052. The Eviction Risk Score is 3.3/10, in the Lower tier. around two-thirds of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, well clear of the Goodyear rate of 37.1%.

The clearest offset is eviction-process difficulty, at 1.6/10. Sitting well above the midpoint is rent-regulation exposure at 8.3/10.

On the softer side is economic stress, at 1.9/10. Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 3 to 4.1, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk. Court records for this tract carry 26 eviction filings.

Filing activity peaked in 2005 at 4.8% of renter households. Among the 7 mapped neighborhoods of Goodyear, it ranks #4 by risk, the middle third.

Judgments average 9.3% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. Only 24% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

The closest comparables inside the same city are Canyon Trails and Pebblecreek. Average gross rent runs $1,925, close to the Goodyear average.

Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $107,297.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 3.3 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
3.3
Lower
2 tracts · population-weighted
Estrella Vista vs Goodyear How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
66.3% +79%
Goodyear: 37.1%
Average gross rent
$1,925 -2%
Goodyear: $1,956
Average HH income
$107,297 +5%
Goodyear: $101,814
Poverty rate
7.4% +28%
Goodyear: 5.8%
Renter share
24.2% +9%
Goodyear: 22.3%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Estrella Vista and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 3–4.1

Why Estrella Vista scores 3.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts
2.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts
5.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.6–5.6 across tracts
5.6
Rent control risk
66% of income on rent · Range 8.3–8.3 across tracts
8.3
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.6–1.6 across tracts
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
24% renter households · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts
5.9
Economic stress
7.4% below poverty line · Range 1.2–3.6 across tracts
1.9
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.0–5.6 across tracts
4.9
Risk score comparison

Estrella Vista vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Estrella Vista score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Estrella Vista: 3.33.3Estrella VistaNeighborhoodParent city: 4.04.0Parent cityhost cityState: 3.63.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Estrella Vista

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
04013061024 4.1 2,237 57% $1,566
04013061049 3 5,815 70% $2,063
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 22

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 29%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 36%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 70%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 16%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Estrella Vista

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 26Total filings (sum)
  • 17.48%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.8%Peak year (2005)
  • 4.82%Latest filed (2005)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Estrella Vista

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Estrella Vista

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Estrella Vista?

Estrella Vista scores 3.3/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Estrella Vista compare to Goodyear overall?

Estrella Vista scores 0.7 points lower than Goodyear overall (4/10). Renters spend 66% of income on rent vs 37% citywide. Average rent: $1,925 vs $1,956.
Q3

What is the average rent in Estrella Vista?

Average gross rent in Estrella Vista is $1,925/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Estrella Vista residents are renters?

24% of Estrella Vista households are renter-occupied (vs 22% in Goodyear). The neighborhood has 8,052 residents.
Q5

Is Estrella Vista a high social-vulnerability area?

Estrella Vista sits in the 22nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Estrella Vista have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Estrella Vista is census tract 04013061024 (score 4.1/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 4.1, a spread of 1.1 points.
Q7

How safe is Estrella Vista for landlords?

Estrella Vista carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.3/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Goodyear as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Estrella Vista?

Estrella Vista has 7,789 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (45%), White (non-Hispanic) (42.1%), Black (non-Hispanic) (6.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Estrella Vista

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Goodyear

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Estrella Vista.

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