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Neighborhood · Goodyear, AZ

Montecito Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 4,965 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3/10 · range 3–3

Montecito maps to a single census tract in Goodyear, AZ, population 4,965. Scored across those inputs it reaches 3/10, placing it in the Lower tier. Pulling the other way is economic stress, at 1/10.

The severe-burden share is 22%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. Well under the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty, at 1.6/10. The voucher gap is 22.2%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears.

Sitting well above the midpoint is rent-regulation exposure at 8.3/10. At $2,382 a month, rents sit 22% over what the rest of Goodyear commands. 35% of renters spend 30% or more of household income on rent.

SNAP participation is 6.6% of households versus 15.2% nationally. Among the 7 mapped neighborhoods of Goodyear, it ranks #6 by risk, the lower third. Only 6% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

For a like-for-like read, Estrella Mountain Ranch and Pebblecreek score within a fraction of it. Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $117,222.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 3/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Montecito vs Goodyear How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
34.7% -6%
Goodyear: 37.1%
Average gross rent
$2,382 +22%
Goodyear: $1,956
Average HH income
$117,222 +15%
Goodyear: $101,814
Poverty rate
2.1% -64%
Goodyear: 5.8%
Renter share
6.1% -73%
Goodyear: 22.3%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Montecito and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3–3

Why Montecito scores 3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts
2.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts
5.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.6–5.6 across tracts
5.6
Rent control risk
35% of income on rent · Range 8.3–8.3 across tracts
8.3
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.6–1.6 across tracts
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
6% renter households · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts
5.9
Economic stress
2.1% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 7.2–7.2 across tracts
7.2
Risk score comparison

Montecito vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Montecito score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Montecito: 3.03.0MontecitoNeighborhoodParent city: 4.04.0Parent cityhost cityState: 3.63.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Montecito

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
04013723311 3 4,965 35% $2,382
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 3

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 6%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 8%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 50%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 4%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Montecito

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Montecito

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Montecito?

Montecito scores 3/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Montecito compare to Goodyear overall?

Montecito scores 1.0 points lower than Goodyear overall (4/10). Renters spend 35% of income on rent vs 37% citywide. Average rent: $2,382 vs $1,956.
Q3

What is the average rent in Montecito?

Average gross rent in Montecito is $2,382/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Montecito residents are renters?

6% of Montecito households are renter-occupied (vs 22% in Goodyear). The neighborhood has 4,965 residents.
Q5

Is Montecito a high social-vulnerability area?

Montecito sits in the 3rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Montecito for landlords?

Montecito carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Goodyear as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Montecito?

Montecito has 5,511 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (67.5%), Hispanic / Latino (23%), Other / Multiracial (4.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Montecito

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Goodyear

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Montecito.

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