Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #48,956 of 84,120 nationally
Continental at Superstition Springs Eviction Risk: Moderate , Mesa
Tract 04013422633 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 2,948 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
With a score of 4/10, tract 04013422633 in the Continental at Superstition Springs area of Mesa, AZ reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,948. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
Risk score
4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 45%
Stable renters 31%
Owners 24%
Tract context
Occupied units1,316
Renter share75.2%
SVI overall0.66
Poverty rate11.5%
Median income$56,855
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
67
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
64
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
65
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Mesa and the region
Centroid at 33.3862, -111.6766 · click any tract to drill in
Why Continental at Superstition Springs scores 4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Mesa
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
11.5% poverty · this tract
2.9
Supply constraint
$1,677 rent vs county FMR
3.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Mesa
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Mesa
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Mesa
2.5
How Continental at Superstition Springs compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 66
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 73%Socioeconomic
- 35%Household composition
- 62%Racial/ethnic minority
- 61%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 478Total filings over 5 yrs
- 169.38%Avg annual filing rate
- 235.0%Peak (2002)
- 75Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Continental at Superstition Springs. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.8%Housing insecurity
- 8.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 19.5%Food insecurity
- 15.0%SNAP enrollment
- 10.8%Transit barriers
- 13.4%No health insurance
- 17.9%Frequent mental distress
- 32.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Continental at Superstition Springs
59% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Maricopa County average of 46.0%. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10.
Set annual rent against average income of $56,855 and the ratio lands at 35%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. This is renter territory: 75% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Severe burden reaches 19%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Running cool, state political climate reads 2.2/10. The filing record is not thin: 478 evictions over 5 years of observation.
The worst year on record was 2002, when 235.0% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 169.4% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #48,956 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Social vulnerability reads 6.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. It tracks the Maricopa County average of 3.7 closely.
Average gross rent is $1,677, close to the Mesa average.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013422633
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013422633?
Census tract 04013422633 in the Continental at Superstition Springs neighborhood scores 4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013422633?
Median gross rent is $1,677/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013422633?
11.5% of residents in tract 04013422633 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,948.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013422633?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 66th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 73th, household 35th, minority 62th, housing 61th.
Q5
Is tract 04013422633 considered part of Continental at Superstition Springs?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013422633 fall within Continental at Superstition Springs (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013422633?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 478 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013422633 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 169.38% of renter households, peaking at 235.0% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04013422633 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04013422633 compare to Mesa overall?
Tract 04013422633 scores 4/10, higher than the parent city of Mesa at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mesa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Mesa
Top eight tracts in Mesa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
Fuller Ranch
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Mesa Patios
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Mesa Patios
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Hohokam Village
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013421901
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013421902
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013522802
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013422001
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Related
Explore the geography around tract 04013422633
Parent city ↑
Mesa
3.2 / 10
Parent county ↑
Maricopa
Parent state ↑
Arizona
Sibling tract →
Continental at Superstition Springs
3.5 / 10
Sibling tract →
Continental at Superstition Springs
3 / 10
Sibling tract →
Continental at Superstition Springs
3 / 10
Methodology
How the score is built
Interactive map
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