Within neighborhood
80
th percentile
High
Neighborhood · Ranked #42,813 of 84,120 nationally
Dobson Shores Eviction Risk: Moderate , Mesa
Tract 04013422223 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 3,005 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
With a score of 4.4/10, tract 04013422223 in the Dobson Shores area of Mesa, AZ reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,005 residents. 41% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
4.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 33%
Stable renters 20%
Owners 47%
Tract context
Occupied units1,236
Renter share53.2%
SVI overall0.59
Poverty rate17.8%
Median income$68,438
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
76
th percentile
High
Within county
71
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
71
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Mesa and the region
Centroid at 33.3817, -111.8678 · click any tract to drill in
Why Dobson Shores scores 4.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Mesa
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
17.8% poverty · this tract
4.4
Supply constraint
$1,538 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Mesa
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Mesa
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Mesa
2.5
How Dobson Shores compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 59
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 56%Socioeconomic
- 50%Household composition
- 65%Racial/ethnic minority
- 55%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Dobson Shores. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.9%Housing insecurity
- 8.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 17.2%Food insecurity
- 13.5%SNAP enrollment
- 9.9%Transit barriers
- 11.2%No health insurance
- 16.9%Frequent mental distress
- 29.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Dobson Shores
Against Maricopa County at 46.0%, 62% of renters here are cost-burdened. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.2/10.
Against the Maricopa County average of 3.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.7 points. On the national scale it lands near the 49th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6.3/10.
Average gross rent is $1,538, close to the Mesa average. Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $68,438.
53% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013422223
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013422223?
Census tract 04013422223 in the Dobson Shores neighborhood scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013422223?
Median gross rent is $1,538/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013422223?
17.8% of residents in tract 04013422223 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,005.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013422223?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 59th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 56th, household 50th, minority 65th, housing 55th.
Q5
Is tract 04013422223 considered part of Dobson Shores?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013422223 fall within Dobson Shores (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 04013422223 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 04013422223 compare to Mesa overall?
Tract 04013422223 scores 4.4/10, higher than the parent city of Mesa at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mesa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Mesa
Top eight tracts in Mesa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
04013421902
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013522802
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013422001
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
McQueen
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013941300
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013421302
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013422102
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Buckhorn
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
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