Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Dreamland Villa Eviction Risk: Lower , Mesa
Tract 04013420208 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 5,835 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
Census tract 04013420208 covers part of the Dreamland Villa area of Mesa, AZ, and scores 3/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 5,835. Severe burden reaches 32%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15%
Stable renters 14%
Owners 71%
Tract context
Occupied units2,051
Renter share28.8%
SVI overall0.50
Poverty rate11.0%
Median income$101,659
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
39
th percentile
Low
Within county
23
th percentile
Low
Within state
40
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Mesa and the region
Centroid at 33.4301, -111.7277 · click any tract to drill in
Why Dreamland Villa scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Mesa
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
11.0% poverty · this tract
2.7
Supply constraint
$1,391 rent vs county FMR
2.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Mesa
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Mesa
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Mesa
2.5
How Dreamland Villa compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 50
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 45%Socioeconomic
- 63%Household composition
- 48%Racial/ethnic minority
- 44%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 315Total filings over 5 yrs
- 12.16%Avg annual filing rate
- 15.1%Peak (2001)
- 59Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 22% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Dreamland Villa. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.1%Housing insecurity
- 6.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 14.3%Food insecurity
- 10.2%SNAP enrollment
- 8.1%Transit barriers
- 11.0%No health insurance
- 16.2%Frequent mental distress
- 28.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Dreamland Villa
The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. Running cool, supply constraint reads 2.1/10.
53% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Maricopa County average of 46.0%. Court records carry 315 eviction filings across 5 observed years.
Average gross rent is $1,391, 14% below the Mesa average. Against the Maricopa County average of 3.7, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.7 points. The worst year on record was 2001, when 15.1% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 12.2% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Against average income of $101,659, annual rent is just 16%. 29% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013420208
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013420208?
Census tract 04013420208 in the Dreamland Villa neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013420208?
Median gross rent is $1,391/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013420208?
11.0% of residents in tract 04013420208 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,835.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013420208?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 50th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 45th, household 63th, minority 48th, housing 44th.
Q5
Is tract 04013420208 considered part of Dreamland Villa?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013420208 fall within Dreamland Villa (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013420208?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 315 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013420208 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 12.16% of renter households, peaking at 15.1% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04013420208 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04013420208 compare to Mesa overall?
Tract 04013420208 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Mesa at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mesa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Mesa
Top eight tracts in Mesa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
04013422001
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013522802
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
McQueen
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013421302
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013422102
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013941300
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Dobson Shores
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Buckhorn
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
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