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Neighborhood · Mesa, AZ

Dreamland Villa Eviction Risk: Lower

2 census tracts · pop 10,073 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.6/10 · range 3–4.5

Dreamland Villa spans 2 census tracts of Mesa, AZ, population 10,073. The Eviction Risk Score is 3.6/10, in the Lower tier. Cost burden runs 52% against 32.3% citywide, putting Dreamland Villa 19.9% over its own city.

32% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10. Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 3 to 4.5, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk.

On the softer side is tenant-organizing strength, at 2.5/10. Court records carry 381 eviction filings across its 2 observed tracts. Well under the midpoint is housing-court posture, at 2.5/10.

Filing activity peaked in 2001 at 15.1% of renter households. Average gross rent is $1,484, 8% below the Mesa average of $1,620.

The most recent observed rate, 6.1% in 2005, is well off that peak. Among the 33 mapped neighborhoods of Mesa, it ranks #15 by risk, the middle third.

At 25% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out. Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $84,395.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 3.6 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
3.6
Lower
2 tracts · population-weighted
Dreamland Villa vs Mesa How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
52.2% +62%
Mesa: 32.3%
Average gross rent
$1,484 -8%
Mesa: $1,620
Average HH income
$84,395 +7%
Mesa: $78,779
Poverty rate
13.3% +27%
Mesa: 10.5%
Renter share
25.0% -30%
Mesa: 35.6%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Dreamland Villa and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 3–4.5

Why Dreamland Villa scores 3.6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts
2.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts
5.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Rent control risk
52% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
25% renter households · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Economic stress
13.3% below poverty line · Range 2.7–4.1 across tracts
3.3
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.1–3.3 across tracts
2.6
Risk score comparison

Dreamland Villa vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Dreamland Villa score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Dreamland Villa: 3.63.6Dreamland VillaNeighborhoodParent city: 3.23.2Parent cityhost cityState: 3.63.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Dreamland Villa

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
04013420209 4.5 4,238 52% $1,612
04013420208 3 5,835 53% $1,391
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 40

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 39%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 64%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 40%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 32%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Dreamland Villa

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 381Total filings (sum)
  • 9.56%Avg annual filing rate
  • 15.1%Peak year (2001)
  • 6.73%Latest filed (2005)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Dreamland Villa

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Dreamland Villa

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Dreamland Villa?

Dreamland Villa scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Dreamland Villa compare to Mesa overall?

Dreamland Villa scores 0.4 points higher than Mesa overall (3.2/10). Renters spend 52% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,484 vs $1,620.
Q3

What is the average rent in Dreamland Villa?

Average gross rent in Dreamland Villa is $1,484/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Dreamland Villa residents are renters?

25% of Dreamland Villa households are renter-occupied (vs 36% in Mesa). The neighborhood has 10,073 residents.
Q5

Is Dreamland Villa a high social-vulnerability area?

Dreamland Villa sits in the 40th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Dreamland Villa have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Dreamland Villa is census tract 04013420209 (score 4.5/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 4.5, a spread of 1.5 points.
Q7

How safe is Dreamland Villa for landlords?

Dreamland Villa carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.6/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Mesa as a whole (3.2/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Dreamland Villa?

Dreamland Villa has 9,992 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (74%), Hispanic / Latino (19%), Other / Multiracial (3.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Dreamland Villa

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Mesa

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Dreamland Villa.

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