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Neighborhood · Ranked #50,654 of 84,120 nationally

Fountain of the Sun Eviction Risk: Lower , Mesa

Tract 04013422632 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 3,846 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

Tract 04013422632 sits in the Fountain of the Sun area of Mesa eviction risk, AZ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.9/10. Population here is 3,846. Cost burden runs roughly one in three here against 46.0% across Maricopa County.

Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7% Stable renters 14% Owners 79%
Tract context
Occupied units1,765
Renter share21.1%
SVI overall0.71
Poverty rate11.6%
Median income$65,163

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 6 tracts In Fountain of the Sun
High
Within parent city
64 th percentile
Rank, 64th percentileLowHigh
#48 of 133 tracts In Mesa
Elevated
Within county
62 th percentile
Rank, 62nd percentileLowHigh
#380 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Elevated
Within state
62 th percentile
Rank, 62nd percentileLowHigh
#670 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Mesa and the region

Centroid at 33.4006, -111.6414 · click any tract to drill in

Why Fountain of the Sun scores 3.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Mesa
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
11.6% poverty · this tract
2.9
Supply constraint
$1,383 rent vs county FMR
2.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Mesa
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Mesa
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Mesa
2.5

How Fountain of the Sun compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Fountain of the Sun risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.93.9This tracttract 422632Mesa: 3.23.2Mesaparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 71

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 110Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 8.12%Avg annual filing rate
  • 10.6%Peak (2001)
  • 20Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040134226322001: 26 filings (10.57/100 renter HHs)2002: 17 filings (6.91/100 renter HHs)2003: 22 filings (8.95/100 renter HHs)2004: 25 filings (10.17/100 renter HHs)2005: 20 filings (3.98/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 23% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Fountain of the Sun. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Fountain of the Sun

The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. Running cool, supply constraint reads 2.1/10.

Severe burden reaches 11%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Court records carry 110 eviction filings across 5 observed years. Average gross rent is $1,383, 15% below the Mesa average.

Filings peaked in 2001 at 10.6% of renter households. In a typical year about 8.1% of renter households face a filing.

On the national scale it lands near the 40th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 21% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.4/10.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Maricopa County average of 3.7 closely. Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $65,163.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013422632

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013422632?

Census tract 04013422632 in the Fountain of the Sun neighborhood scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013422632?

Median gross rent is $1,383/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 32% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013422632?

11.6% of residents in tract 04013422632 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,846.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013422632?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 71th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 67th, household 64th, minority 43th, housing 75th.
Q5

Is tract 04013422632 considered part of Fountain of the Sun?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013422632 fall within Fountain of the Sun (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013422632?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 110 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013422632 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.12% of renter households, peaking at 10.6% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013422632 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013422632 compare to Mesa overall?

Tract 04013422632 scores 3.9/10, higher than the parent city of Mesa at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mesa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Mesa

Top eight tracts in Mesa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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