Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Knoell East Eviction Risk: Lower , Mesa
Tract 04013422212 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 4,089 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Census tract 04013422212 covers part of the Knoell East area of Mesa, AZ, and scores 3/10 on landlord eviction risk. 27% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well below the Maricopa County average of 46.0%.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3%
Stable renters 7%
Owners 90%
Tract context
Occupied units1,640
Renter share9.8%
SVI overall0.08
Poverty rate3.5%
Median income$93,235
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
31
th percentile
Low
Within county
21
th percentile
Low
Within state
40
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Mesa and the region
Centroid at 33.3675, -111.8919 · click any tract to drill in
Why Knoell East scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Mesa
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
3.5% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,664 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Mesa
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Mesa
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Mesa
2.5
How Knoell East compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 8
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 13%Socioeconomic
- 34%Household composition
- 40%Racial/ethnic minority
- 4%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 55Total filings over 5 yrs
- 5.44%Avg annual filing rate
- 10.4%Peak (2004)
- 15Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 114% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Knoell East. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.5%Housing insecurity
- 3.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 7.8%Food insecurity
- 5.0%SNAP enrollment
- 4.9%Transit barriers
- 6.7%No health insurance
- 12.7%Frequent mental distress
- 24.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Knoell East
The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1/10. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10.
Food insecurity runs 7.8% against 17.8% nationally. The filing record is not thin: 55 evictions over 5 years of observation.
9% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Housing insecurity runs 6.5% against 14.2% nationally. It sits 0.7 points below the Maricopa County average of 3.7.
Filings peaked in 2004 at 10.4% of renter households. In a typical year about 5.4% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 10% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013422212
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013422212?
Census tract 04013422212 in the Knoell East neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013422212?
Median gross rent is $1,664/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 27% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013422212?
3.5% of residents in tract 04013422212 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,089.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013422212?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 8th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 13th, household 34th, minority 40th, housing 4th.
Q5
Is tract 04013422212 considered part of Knoell East?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013422212 fall within Knoell East (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013422212?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 55 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013422212 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.44% of renter households, peaking at 10.4% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04013422212 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04013422212 compare to Mesa overall?
Tract 04013422212 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Mesa at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mesa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Mesa
Top eight tracts in Mesa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
04013421302
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013422102
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Buckhorn
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Dobson Shores
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Velda Rose Estates
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Culdesac Tempe
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Mesa Patios
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Arizona Cowboy
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
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