3 census tracts · pop 11,124 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.2/10 · range 5.1–5.4
Velda Rose Estates is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Mesa with 3 census tracts and a population of 11,124 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 5.2/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 63% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 25% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Median gross rent of $1,631/month sits 1% higher than the Mesa citywide median ($1,620).
Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 5.1–5.4
Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).
Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square — click to drill in.
Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.
| Tract↕ | Score↕ | Pop↕ | % over 30% on rent↕ | Average rent↕ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04013422626 | 5.4 | 2,496 | 73% | $1,929 |
| 04013420202 | 5.1 | 5,130 | 65% | $1,652 |
| 04013420113 | 5.1 | 3,498 | 52% | $1,387 |
Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.
Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
Velda Rose Estates scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Velda Rose Estates scores 2.1 points higher than Mesa overall (3.1/10). Renters spend 63% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Median rent: $1,631 vs $1,620.
Median gross rent in Velda Rose Estates is $1,631/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
40% of Velda Rose Estates households are renter-occupied (vs 36% in Mesa). The neighborhood has 11,124 residents.
Velda Rose Estates sits in the 63th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
The highest-risk constituent tract in Velda Rose Estates is census tract 04013422626 (score 5.4/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.1 to 5.4 — a spread of 0.3 points.
Velda Rose Estates carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.2/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Mesa as a whole (3.1/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Velda Rose Estates has 11,491 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (73.2%), Hispanic / Latino (13.1%), Black (non-Hispanic) (8.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Velda Rose Estates.
