Velda Rose Estates Eviction Risk: Moderate , Mesa
Tract 04013420113 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 3,498 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
04013420113 is a census tract in the Velda Rose Estates area of Mesa, AZ. It scores 4.3/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,498 residents. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Mesa and the region
Centroid at 33.4190, -111.6760 · click any tract to drill in
Why Velda Rose Estates scores 4.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Velda Rose Estates compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 74
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 68%Socioeconomic
- 62%Household composition
- 59%Racial/ethnic minority
- 77%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,162Total filings over 5 yrs
- 96.14%Avg annual filing rate
- 94.1%Peak (2005)
- 391Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Velda Rose Estates. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.1%Housing insecurity
- 6.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 14.8%Food insecurity
- 10.8%SNAP enrollment
- 8.4%Transit barriers
- 11.4%No health insurance
- 16.3%Frequent mental distress
- 31.9%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Velda Rose Estates
25% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 2.1/10.
about half of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Maricopa County average of 46.0%. Court records carry 1,162 eviction filings across 5 observed years.
At $1,387 a month, rents run 14% under what the rest of Mesa commands. The worst year on record was 2005, when 94.1% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 96.1% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 47th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
It tracks the Maricopa County average of 3.7 closely.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
About tract 04013420113
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013420113?
What is the average rent in tract 04013420113?
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013420113?
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013420113?
Is tract 04013420113 considered part of Velda Rose Estates?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013420113?
What share of households in tract 04013420113 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 04013420113 compare to Mesa overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Mesa
Top eight tracts in Mesa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.