Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #23,808 of 84,120 nationally
Coldwater Springs Eviction Risk: Moderate , Avondale
Tract 04013061200 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 5,909 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
Census tract 04013061200 covers part of the Coldwater Springs area of Avondale, AZ, and scores 5.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. Cost burden runs 71% here against 46.0% across Maricopa County.
Risk score
5.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 46%
Stable renters 19%
Owners 35%
Tract context
Occupied units2,257
Renter share64.2%
SVI overall0.99
Poverty rate19.5%
Median income$49,326
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
99
th percentile
Very High
Within state
99
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Avondale and the region
Centroid at 33.4461, -112.3389 · click any tract to drill in
Why Coldwater Springs scores 5.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Avondale
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
19.5% poverty · this tract
4.9
Supply constraint
$1,391 rent vs county FMR
2.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Avondale
7.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Avondale
7.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Avondale
6.4
How Coldwater Springs compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 99
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 97%Socioeconomic
- 89%Household composition
- 82%Racial/ethnic minority
- 100%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,556Total filings over 5 yrs
- 30.09%Avg annual filing rate
- 31.8%Peak (2002)
- 303Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Coldwater Springs. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 25.7%Housing insecurity
- 14.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 37.5%Food insecurity
- 29.7%SNAP enrollment
- 18.3%Transit barriers
- 28.8%No health insurance
- 19.1%Frequent mental distress
- 41.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Coldwater Springs
The severe-burden share is 28%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 8.9/10.
Food insecurity runs 37.5% against 17.8% nationally. Annualized rent equals 34% of average household income of $49,326, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Against the Maricopa County average of 3.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.8 points.
Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 2/10. Average gross rent is $1,391, 24% below the Avondale average. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.9/10.
Housing insecurity runs 25.7% against 14.2% nationally. The poverty rate is 20%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,556 filings here across 5 tracked years. Filings peaked in 2002 at 31.8% of renter households.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013061200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013061200?
Census tract 04013061200 in the Coldwater Springs neighborhood scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013061200?
Median gross rent is $1,391/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 71% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013061200?
19.5% of residents in tract 04013061200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,909.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013061200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 99th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 97th, household 89th, minority 82th, housing 100th.
Q5
Is tract 04013061200 considered part of Coldwater Springs?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013061200 fall within Coldwater Springs (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013061200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,556 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013061200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 30.09% of renter households, peaking at 31.8% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04013061200 struggle to pay rent?
About 25.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04013061200 compare to Avondale overall?
Tract 04013061200 scores 5.5/10, higher than the parent city of Avondale at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Avondale eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Avondale
Top eight tracts in Avondale ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
04013082209
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AZ
Litchfield Junction
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AZ
Tierra at Rancho Santa Fe
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Litchfield Junction
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013082024
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Alamar
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013082210
4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Sage Creek
3.9
/ 10 · Low
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