Within neighborhood
33
th percentile
Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #34,278 of 84,120 nationally
Maryvale Terrace Eviction Risk: Moderate , Phoenix
Tract 04013109802 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 4,629 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Tract 04013109802 sits in the Maryvale Terrace area of Phoenix eviction risk, AZ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.9/10. Population here is 4,629. 26% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far below the Maricopa County average of 46.0%.
Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5%
Stable renters 14%
Owners 81%
Tract context
Occupied units1,152
Renter share18.2%
SVI overall0.83
Poverty rate19.8%
Median income$73,023
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
66
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
82
th percentile
High
Within state
83
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Phoenix and the region
Centroid at 33.4878, -112.1908 · click any tract to drill in
Why Maryvale Terrace scores 4.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Phoenix
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
19.8% poverty · this tract
5.0
Supply constraint
$1,281 rent vs county FMR
1.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Phoenix
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Phoenix
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Phoenix
3.0
How Maryvale Terrace compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 83
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 81%Socioeconomic
- 76%Household composition
- 91%Racial/ethnic minority
- 64%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 132Total filings over 5 yrs
- 19.34%Avg annual filing rate
- 26.4%Peak (2003)
- 16Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 41% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Maryvale Terrace. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 26.3%Housing insecurity
- 13.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 37.2%Food insecurity
- 26.1%SNAP enrollment
- 17.4%Transit barriers
- 33.9%No health insurance
- 18.0%Frequent mental distress
- 39.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Maryvale Terrace
Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Food insecurity runs 37.2% against 17.8% nationally. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10.
Running cool, supply constraint reads 1.6/10. Housing insecurity runs 26.3% against 14.2% nationally.
It sits 1.2 points above the Maricopa County average of 3.7. At $1,281 a month, rents run 19% under what the rest of Phoenix commands.
The poverty rate is 20%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Court records carry 132 eviction filings across 5 observed years.
Filings peaked in 2003 at 26.4% of renter households. In a typical year about 19.3% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 59th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 18% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.5/10. Statewide the AZ average is 3.8, so this tract runs 1.1 points hotter.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013109802
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013109802?
Census tract 04013109802 in the Maryvale Terrace neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013109802?
Median gross rent is $1,281/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 26% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013109802?
19.8% of residents in tract 04013109802 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,629.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013109802?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 83th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 81th, household 76th, minority 91th, housing 64th.
Q5
Is tract 04013109802 considered part of Maryvale Terrace?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013109802 fall within Maryvale Terrace (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013109802?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 132 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013109802 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 19.34% of renter households, peaking at 26.4% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04013109802 struggle to pay rent?
About 26.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04013109802 compare to Phoenix overall?
Tract 04013109802 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of Phoenix at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Phoenix
Top eight tracts in Phoenix ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
Maryvale
5
/ 10 · Moderate
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5
/ 10 · Moderate
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5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013114900
5
/ 10 · Moderate
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Lake Biltmore Village
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Sunburst Homes
5
/ 10 · Moderate
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5
/ 10 · Moderate
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Mountain View Trailer Court
5
/ 10 · Moderate
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