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Neighborhood · Ranked #29,578 of 84,120 nationally

Maryvale Terrace Eviction Risk: Moderate , Phoenix

Tract 04013109802 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 4,629 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

With a score of 4.8/10, tract 04013109802 in the Maryvale Terrace neighborhood of Phoenix ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 4,629 residents. It lands near the 33rd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 26% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a moderate level, and 0% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,281 a month while the average household earns $73,023 a year, roughly 21% of income at the averages. Renters make up 18% of occupied homes.

Risk score
4.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5% Stable renters 14% Owners 81%
Tract context
Occupied units1,152
Renter share18.2%
SVI overall0.83
Poverty rate19.8%
Median income$73,023

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#3 of 4 tracts In Maryvale Terrace
Low
Within parent city
66 th percentile
Rank, 66th percentileLowHigh
#130 of 379 tracts In Phoenix
Elevated
Within county
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#173 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
High
Within state
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#448 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Phoenix and the region

Centroid at 33.4878, -112.1908 · click any tract to drill in

Why Maryvale Terrace scores 4.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Phoenix
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
19.8% poverty · this tract
5.0
Supply constraint
$1,281 rent vs county FMR
1.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Phoenix
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Phoenix
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Phoenix
3.0

How Maryvale Terrace compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Maryvale Terrace risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.74.7This tracttract 109802Phoenix: 2.82.8Phoenixparent cityCounty: 3.33.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 83

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 132Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 19.34%Avg annual filing rate
  • 26.4%Peak (2003)
  • 16Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040131098022001: 27 filings (20.93/100 renter HHs)2002: 25 filings (19.38/100 renter HHs)2003: 34 filings (26.36/100 renter HHs)2004: 30 filings (23.26/100 renter HHs)2005: 16 filings (6.78/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 41% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Maryvale Terrace. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Maryvale Terrace

The heaviest input here is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Maricopa County average of 5.1 and in line with the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 132 eviction filings here over 5 tracked years, with about 19.3% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 26.4% of renter households in 2003.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 83rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013109802

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013109802?

Census tract 04013109802 in the Maryvale Terrace neighborhood scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013109802?

Median gross rent is $1,281/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 26% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013109802?

19.8% of residents in tract 04013109802 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,629.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013109802?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 83th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 81th, household 76th, minority 91th, housing 64th.
Q5

Is tract 04013109802 considered part of Maryvale Terrace?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013109802 fall within Maryvale Terrace (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013109802?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 132 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013109802 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 19.34% of renter households, peaking at 26.4% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013109802 struggle to pay rent?

About 26.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013109802 compare to Phoenix overall?

Tract 04013109802 scores 4.7/10, higher than the parent city of Phoenix at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Phoenix

Top eight tracts in Phoenix ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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