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Neighborhood · Ranked #14,316 of 84,120 nationally

Melrose District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Phoenix

Tract 04013107404 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 1,256 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi

Census tract 04013107404 sits in Melrose District in Phoenix eviction risk, Arizona eviction laws, and carries an eviction-risk score of $1/10. That is riskier than roughly 76% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 62% of renter households, a severe level, and 44% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,012 monthly, set against $27,604 in average yearly household income, roughly 44% of income at the averages. About 100% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 62% Stable renters 38% Owners 0%
Tract context
Occupied units488
Renter share100.0%
SVI overall0.88
Poverty rate36.0%
Median income$27,604

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#2 of 12 tracts In Melrose District
Very High
Within parent city
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#30 of 379 tracts In Phoenix
Very High
Within county
96 th percentile
Rank, 96th percentileLowHigh
#43 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Very High
Within state
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#145 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Phoenix and the region

Centroid at 33.5204, -112.0955 · click any tract to drill in

Why Melrose District scores 5.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Phoenix
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
36.0% poverty · this tract
9.0
Supply constraint
$1,012 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Phoenix
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Phoenix
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Phoenix
3.0

How Melrose District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Melrose District risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.85.8This tracttract 107404Phoenix: 2.82.8Phoenixparent cityCounty: 3.33.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 88

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Melrose District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Melrose District

The heaviest input here is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Maricopa County average of 5.1 and above the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is Hispanic or Latino and Black and ranks around the 88th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

In CDC survey modeling, about 27.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 17.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013107404

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013107404?

Census tract 04013107404 in the Melrose District neighborhood scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013107404?

Median gross rent is $1,012/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013107404?

36.0% of residents in tract 04013107404 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,256.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013107404?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 88th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 97th, household 50th, minority 84th, housing 73th.
Q5

Is tract 04013107404 considered part of Melrose District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013107404 fall within Melrose District (neighborhood centroid within 1.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 04013107404 struggle to pay rent?

About 27.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 17.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 04013107404 compare to Phoenix overall?

Tract 04013107404 scores 5.8/10, higher than the parent city of Phoenix at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Phoenix

Top eight tracts in Phoenix ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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