Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #48,956 of 84,120 nationally
Melrose District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Phoenix
Tract 04013117100 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 2,920 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Tract 04013117100 sits in the Melrose District area of Phoenix eviction risk, AZ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4/10. Population here is 2,920. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
Risk score
4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 35%
Stable renters 40%
Owners 25%
Tract context
Occupied units1,619
Renter share74.8%
SVI overall0.61
Poverty rate12.0%
Median income$77,875
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
46
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
66
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
65
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Phoenix and the region
Centroid at 33.4991, -112.0751 · click any tract to drill in
Why Melrose District scores 4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Phoenix
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
12.0% poverty · this tract
3.0
Supply constraint
$1,628 rent vs county FMR
3.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Phoenix
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Phoenix
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Phoenix
3.0
How Melrose District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 61
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 59%Socioeconomic
- 17%Household composition
- 65%Racial/ethnic minority
- 82%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 3%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 840Total filings over 5 yrs
- 33.25%Avg annual filing rate
- 46.7%Peak (2004)
- 195Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 47% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Melrose District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.1%Housing insecurity
- 6.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 13.3%Food insecurity
- 8.8%SNAP enrollment
- 8.1%Transit barriers
- 10.5%No health insurance
- 16.2%Frequent mental distress
- 24.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Melrose District
On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. This is renter territory: 75% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. 16% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.2/10. Court records carry 840 eviction filings across 5 observed years.
Filings peaked in 2004 at 46.7% of renter households. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Phoenix. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
In a typical year about 33.2% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 42nd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6.5/10. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
47% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. It tracks the Maricopa County average of 3.7 closely.
Average gross rent is $1,628, close to the Phoenix average.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013117100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013117100?
Census tract 04013117100 in the Melrose District neighborhood scores 4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013117100?
Median gross rent is $1,628/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013117100?
12.0% of residents in tract 04013117100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,920.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013117100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 61th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 59th, household 17th, minority 65th, housing 82th.
Q5
Is tract 04013117100 considered part of Melrose District?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013117100 fall within Melrose District (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013117100?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 840 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013117100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 33.25% of renter households, peaking at 46.7% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04013117100 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04013117100 compare to Phoenix overall?
Tract 04013117100 scores 4/10, higher than the parent city of Phoenix at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 04013117100 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Phoenix
Top eight tracts in Phoenix ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
Maryvale Terrace
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Garfield
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Thunderbird Valley Number Two
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013107002
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013114401
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013116735
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
South Phoenix
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
El Camino Dr.
5
/ 10 · Moderate
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