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Neighborhood · Phoenix, AZ

Overland Trail Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 3,553 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3/10 · range 3–3

Overland Trail is a one-tract neighborhood of Phoenix, AZ, population 3,553. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 3/10, Lower tier. Pulling the other way is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10.

Running cool is economic stress, at 1.9/10. At $1,952 a month, rents sit 23% over what the rest of Phoenix commands.

The filing record is not thin: 80 evictions logged in this tract. The severe-burden share is 9%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.

Against a Phoenix baseline of 31.0%, 28% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line. Filing activity peaked in 2001 at 13.7% of renter households.

Well under the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty, at 3/10. The most recent observed rate, 7.0% in 2005, is well off that peak.

Among the 113 mapped neighborhoods of Phoenix, it ranks #84 by risk, the lower third. Only 24% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $105,687.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 3/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Overland Trail vs Phoenix How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
27.7% -11%
Phoenix: 31.0%
Average gross rent
$1,952 +23%
Phoenix: $1,582
Average HH income
$105,687 +37%
Phoenix: $77,041
Poverty rate
7.7% -46%
Phoenix: 14.3%
Renter share
23.5% -45%
Phoenix: 42.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Overland Trail and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3–3

Why Overland Trail scores 3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts
2.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts
5.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Rent control risk
28% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
24% renter households · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Economic stress
7.7% below poverty line · Range 1.9–1.9 across tracts
1.9
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Risk score comparison

Overland Trail vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Overland Trail score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Overland Trail: 3.03.0Overland TrailNeighborhoodParent city: 3.63.6Parent cityhost cityState: 3.63.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Overland Trail

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
04013616200 3 3,553 28% $1,952
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 29

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 44%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 31%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 41%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 19%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Overland Trail

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 80Total filings (sum)
  • 11.48%Avg annual filing rate
  • 13.7%Peak year (2001)
  • 7.04%Latest filed (2005)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Overland Trail

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Overland Trail

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Overland Trail?

Overland Trail scores 3/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Overland Trail compare to Phoenix overall?

Overland Trail scores 0.6 points lower than Phoenix overall (3.6/10). Renters spend 28% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,952 vs $1,582.
Q3

What is the average rent in Overland Trail?

Average gross rent in Overland Trail is $1,952/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 28% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Overland Trail residents are renters?

24% of Overland Trail households are renter-occupied (vs 43% in Phoenix). The neighborhood has 3,553 residents.
Q5

Is Overland Trail a high social-vulnerability area?

Overland Trail sits in the 29th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Overland Trail for landlords?

Overland Trail carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Phoenix as a whole (3.6/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Overland Trail?

Overland Trail has 3,662 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (75.3%), Hispanic / Latino (14.3%), Other / Multiracial (7.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Overland Trail

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Phoenix

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Overland Trail.

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