Rancho San Carlos Eviction Risk: Lower

26% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. Running cool is economic stress, at 1/10. Cost burden runs 36% against 31.0% citywide, putting Rancho San Carlos 5.1% over its own city.

The filing record is not thin: 52 evictions logged in this tract. Average gross rent is $1,813, 15% above the Phoenix average of $1,582.

CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 7.1% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. Food insecurity affects 8.3% of adults, 9.5 points below the national rate. The worst year on record was 2002, when filings touched 10.6% of renter households.

Well under the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty, at 3/10. The most recent observed rate, 3.8% in 2005, is well off that peak. Among the 113 mapped neighborhoods of Phoenix, it ranks #84 by risk, the lower third.

At 14% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out. The closest comparables inside the same city are Vista del Cerro and Overland Trail.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 3/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.