Neighborhood · Phoenix, AZ

Rancho San Carlos Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 4,050 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 2.7/10 · range 2.7–2.7

Rancho San Carlos is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Phoenix with 1 census tract and a population of 4,050 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 2.7/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 36% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 26% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,813/month sits 15% higher than the Phoenix citywide average ($1,582).

Risk score

2.7

Lower

1 tracts · population-weighted

Rancho San Carlos vs Phoenix How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

36.1% +16%

Phoenix: 31.0%

Average gross rent

$1,813 +15%

Phoenix: $1,582

Average HH income

$116,188 +51%

Phoenix: $77,041

Poverty rate

2.9% -80%

Phoenix: 14.3%

Renter share

13.6% -68%

Phoenix: 42.7%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Rancho San Carlos and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 2.7–2.7

Why Rancho San Carlos scores 2.7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts

2.2

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts

5.1

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts

5.5

Rent control risk

36% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts

3.0

Tenant organizing strength

14% renter households · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts

4.5

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts

3.0

Economic stress

2.9% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts

1.0

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.3–4.3 across tracts

4.3

Risk score comparison

Rancho San Carlos vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in Rancho San Carlos

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
04013104900	2.7	4,050	36%	$1,813

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 29

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 24%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 64%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 35%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 24%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Rancho San Carlos

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

52Total filings (sum)
6.13%Avg annual filing rate
10.6%Peak year (2002)
3.78%Latest filed (2005)

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Rancho San Carlos

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

7.1%Housing insecurity
4.1%Utility shutoff threat
8.3%Food insecurity
5.5%SNAP enrollment
7.1%No health insurance
23.7%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Rancho San Carlos

What is the eviction-risk score for Rancho San Carlos?

Rancho San Carlos scores 2.7/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Rancho San Carlos compare to Phoenix overall?

Rancho San Carlos scores 0.1 points lower than Phoenix overall (2.8/10). Renters spend 36% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,813 vs $1,582.

What is the average rent in Rancho San Carlos?

Average gross rent in Rancho San Carlos is $1,813/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Rancho San Carlos residents are renters?

14% of Rancho San Carlos households are renter-occupied (vs 43% in Phoenix). The neighborhood has 4,050 residents.

Is Rancho San Carlos a high social-vulnerability area?

Rancho San Carlos sits in the 29th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is Rancho San Carlos for landlords?

Rancho San Carlos carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (2.7/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Phoenix as a whole (2.8/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.

What is the demographic breakdown of Rancho San Carlos?

Rancho San Carlos has 4,293 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (82.1%), Hispanic / Latino (10.4%), Other / Multiracial (4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Rancho San Carlos

3.7 Mayflower Terrace 2 tracts · pop 10,048 3.5 Cactus 3 tracts · pop 13,005 5.1 Lookout Mountain 2 tracts · pop 7,103 2.5 Woodleaf II 2 tracts · pop 7,092 3.8 Ridgegate 3 tracts · pop 13,532 3.3 Sunset Hills 2 tracts · pop 8,878

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Phoenix

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Rancho San Carlos.

2.7 Dove Valley Ranch 1 tracts · pop 4,101 2.7 Desert Ridge 4 tracts · pop 16,071 2.7 Village on the Lakes 1 tracts · pop 3,902 2.8 Trovia 3 tracts · pop 6,990 2.8 Rio Vista 1 tracts · pop 6,616 2.8 Greenway Park V 1 tracts · pop 5,439

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