Happy Valley Ranch Eviction Risk: Lower

The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10. Severe burden reaches 25%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. The voucher gap is 27.8%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears.

Running cool is tenant-organizing strength, at 1.5/10. Well under the midpoint is economic stress, at 1.5/10.

At $2,492 a month, rents sit 24% over what the rest of Scottsdale commands. CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 4.7% of adults, against 14.2% nationally.

SNAP participation is 3.8% of households versus 15.2% nationally. The filing record is not thin: 32 evictions logged in this tract.

Filing activity peaked in 2002 at 12.2% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 5.6% in 2005, is well off that peak.

Among the 31 mapped neighborhoods of Scottsdale, it ranks #13 by risk, the middle third. At 11% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 3/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.