Happy Valley Ranch Eviction Risk: Lower , Scottsdale
Tract 04013216840 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 5,392 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Tract 04013216840 sits in the Happy Valley Ranch area of Scottsdale eviction risk, AZ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3/10. Population here is 5,392. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Scottsdale and the region
Centroid at 33.7127, -111.9081 · click any tract to drill in
Why Happy Valley Ranch scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Happy Valley Ranch compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 23
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 12%Socioeconomic
- 78%Household composition
- 36%Racial/ethnic minority
- 18%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 32Total filings over 5 yrs
- 9.34%Avg annual filing rate
- 12.2%Peak (2002)
- 5Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 4.7%Housing insecurity
- 3.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 5.8%Food insecurity
- 3.8%SNAP enrollment
- 3.9%Transit barriers
- 4.6%No health insurance
- 11.0%Frequent mental distress
- 24.0%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Happy Valley Ranch
The severe-burden share is 24%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. The voucher gap is 27.8%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
On the softer side, tenant-organizing strength reads 1.5/10. At $2,492 a month, rents run 24% over what the rest of Scottsdale commands.
Food insecurity runs 5.8% against 17.8% nationally. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 32 filings here across 5 tracked years.
Cost burden runs 41% here against 46.0% across Maricopa County. Against the Maricopa County average of 3.7, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.7 points. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.1% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
Filings peaked in 2002 at 12.2% of renter households. In a typical year about 9.3% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
About tract 04013216840
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013216840?
What is the average rent in tract 04013216840?
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013216840?
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013216840?
Is tract 04013216840 considered part of Happy Valley Ranch?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013216840?
What share of households in tract 04013216840 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 04013216840 compare to Scottsdale overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Scottsdale
Top eight tracts in Scottsdale ranked by composite eviction-risk score.