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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Happy Valley Ranch Eviction Risk: Lower , Scottsdale

Tract 04013216840 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 5,392 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Tract 04013216840 sits in the Happy Valley Ranch area of Scottsdale eviction risk, AZ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3/10. Population here is 5,392. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4% Stable renters 6% Owners 90%
Tract context
Occupied units2,158
Renter share10.6%
SVI overall0.23
Poverty rate6.0%
Median income$143,500

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Happy Valley Ranch
Moderate
Within parent city
57 th percentile
Rank, 57th percentileLowHigh
#27 of 61 tracts In Scottsdale
Elevated
Within county
28 th percentile
Rank, 28th percentileLowHigh
#732 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Low
Within state
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#1,065 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Scottsdale and the region

Centroid at 33.7127, -111.9081 · click any tract to drill in

Why Happy Valley Ranch scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Scottsdale
2.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
6.0% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$2,492 rent vs county FMR
7.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Scottsdale
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Scottsdale
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Scottsdale
2.0

How Happy Valley Ranch compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Happy Valley Ranch risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.03.0This tracttract 216840Scottsdale: 3.23.2Scottsdaleparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 23

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 32Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 9.34%Avg annual filing rate
  • 12.2%Peak (2002)
  • 5Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040132168402001: 6 filings (9.14/100 renter HHs)2002: 8 filings (12.18/100 renter HHs)2003: 7 filings (10.66/100 renter HHs)2004: 6 filings (9.14/100 renter HHs)2005: 5 filings (5.60/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 17% over the past 5 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Happy Valley Ranch

The severe-burden share is 24%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. The voucher gap is 27.8%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

On the softer side, tenant-organizing strength reads 1.5/10. At $2,492 a month, rents run 24% over what the rest of Scottsdale commands.

Food insecurity runs 5.8% against 17.8% nationally. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 32 filings here across 5 tracked years.

Cost burden runs 41% here against 46.0% across Maricopa County. Against the Maricopa County average of 3.7, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.7 points. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.1% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

Filings peaked in 2002 at 12.2% of renter households. In a typical year about 9.3% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013216840

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013216840?

Census tract 04013216840 in the Happy Valley Ranch neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013216840?

Median gross rent is $2,492/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013216840?

6.0% of residents in tract 04013216840 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,392.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013216840?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 23th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 12th, household 78th, minority 36th, housing 18th.
Q5

Is tract 04013216840 considered part of Happy Valley Ranch?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013216840 fall within Happy Valley Ranch (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013216840?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 32 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013216840 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.34% of renter households, peaking at 12.2% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013216840 struggle to pay rent?

About 4.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013216840 compare to Scottsdale overall?

Tract 04013216840 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Scottsdale at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Scottsdale eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Scottsdale

Top eight tracts in Scottsdale ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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