Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #45,786 of 84,120 nationally
Palo Verde Eviction Risk: Moderate , Tucson
Tract 04019002901 · Pima, AZ · pop 6,006 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
Tract 04019002901 sits in the Palo Verde area of Tucson eviction risk, AZ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.2/10. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1.5/10.
Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26%
Stable renters 36%
Owners 38%
Tract context
Occupied units2,914
Renter share61.9%
SVI overall0.90
Poverty rate11.7%
Median income$50,647
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
39
th percentile
Low
Within county
63
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
68
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Tucson and the region
Centroid at 32.2507, -110.9012 · click any tract to drill in
Why Palo Verde scores 4.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Tucson
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
11.7% poverty · this tract
2.9
Supply constraint
$982 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tucson
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tucson
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tucson
4.5
How Palo Verde compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 90
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 95%Socioeconomic
- 71%Household composition
- 63%Racial/ethnic minority
- 82%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 2,497Total filings over 12 yrs
- 12.89%Avg annual filing rate
- 17.9%Peak (2005)
- 192Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 12 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Palo Verde. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.8%Housing insecurity
- 9.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 18.3%Food insecurity
- 15.1%SNAP enrollment
- 10.7%Transit barriers
- 12.9%No health insurance
- 18.8%Frequent mental distress
- 36.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Palo Verde
Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10. Severe burden reaches 16%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.2/10.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 2,497 filings here across 12 tracked years. Average gross rent is $982, 14% below the Tucson average. The worst year on record was 2005, when 17.9% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 12.9% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 46% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured. 42% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.
It tracks the Pima County average of 3.9 closely.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 04019002901
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04019002901?
Census tract 04019002901 in the Palo Verde neighborhood scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04019002901?
Median gross rent is $982/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04019002901?
11.7% of residents in tract 04019002901 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,006.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04019002901?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 90th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 95th, household 71th, minority 63th, housing 82th.
Q5
Is tract 04019002901 considered part of Palo Verde?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04019002901 fall within Palo Verde (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04019002901?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 2,497 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 04019002901 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 12.89% of renter households, peaking at 17.9% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04019002901 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04019002901 compare to Tucson overall?
Tract 04019002901 scores 4.2/10, higher than the parent city of Tucson at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tucson eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Tucson
Top eight tracts in Tucson ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
04019003505
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Barrio Blue Moon
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04019002504
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04019003506
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Miracle Manor
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Keeling
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Palo Verde Park
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Emery Park
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
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