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Neighborhood · Tucson, AZ

Rincon Heights Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 7,715 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.2/10 · range 5.2–5.2

Rincon Heights maps to a single census tract in Tucson, AZ, population 7,715. Scored across those inputs it reaches 5.2/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. This is a renter market: 90% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure, at 1.5/10. Severe burden reaches 23%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

The poverty rate is 30%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest. Well under the midpoint is supply constraint, at 2.3/10. Cost burden runs 39% against 32.8% citywide, putting Rincon Heights 6.2% over its own city.

Running hot is economic stress at 7.4/10. Average gross rent is $996, 13% below the Tucson average of $1,145. That places it #2 of 32 neighborhoods in Tucson.

Annual rent works out to 31% of average household income of $38,594.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 5.2/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
5.2
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Rincon Heights vs Tucson How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
39.0% +19%
Tucson: 32.8%
Average gross rent
$996 -13%
Tucson: $1,145
Average HH income
$38,594 -29%
Tucson: $54,546
Poverty rate
29.6% +57%
Tucson: 18.8%
Renter share
90.0% +87%
Tucson: 48.2%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Rincon Heights and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 5.2–5.2

Why Rincon Heights scores 5.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts
2.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts
5.9
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Rent control risk
39% of income on rent · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
90% renter households · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Economic stress
29.6% below poverty line · Range 7.4–7.4 across tracts
7.4
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.3–2.3 across tracts
2.3
Risk score comparison

Rincon Heights vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Rincon Heights score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Rincon Heights: 5.25.2Rincon HeightsNeighborhoodParent city: 3.83.8Parent cityhost cityState: 3.63.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Rincon Heights

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
04019000502 5.2 7,715 39% $996
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 68

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 87%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 3%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 53%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 92%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Rincon Heights

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Rincon Heights

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Rincon Heights?

Rincon Heights scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Rincon Heights compare to Tucson overall?

Rincon Heights scores 1.4 points higher than Tucson overall (3.8/10). Renters spend 39% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $996 vs $1,145.
Q3

What is the average rent in Rincon Heights?

Average gross rent in Rincon Heights is $996/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Rincon Heights residents are renters?

90% of Rincon Heights households are renter-occupied (vs 48% in Tucson). The neighborhood has 7,715 residents.
Q5

Is Rincon Heights a high social-vulnerability area?

Rincon Heights sits in the 68th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Rincon Heights for landlords?

Rincon Heights carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.2/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Tucson as a whole (3.8/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Rincon Heights?

Rincon Heights has 8,389 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (61.7%), Hispanic / Latino (17.5%), Other / Multiracial (9.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Rincon Heights

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Tucson

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Rincon Heights.

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