Neighborhood · Ranked #57,812 of 84,120 nationally
Tamaron Eviction Risk: Lower , Casa Grande
Tract 04021001404 ·
Pinal, AZ · pop 3,511 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
With a score of 3.5/10, tract 04021001404 in the Tamaron area of Casa Grande, AZ reads lower for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,511 residents. Cost burden runs 58% here against 37.6% across Pinal County.
Risk score
3.5
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11%Stable renters 8%Owners 81%
Tract context
Occupied units1,233
Renter share18.5%
SVI overall0.77
Poverty rate5.4%
Median income$76,504
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0th percentile
#4 of 4 tracts In Tamaron
Very Low
Within parent city
21th percentile
#12 of 15 tracts In Casa Grande
Low
Within county
48th percentile
#50 of 95 tracts In Pinal
Moderate
Within state
52th percentile
#847 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Casa Grande and the region
Centroid at 32.8868, -111.7313 · click any tract to drill in
Why Tamaron scores 3.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Casa Grande
4.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
5.4% poverty · this tract
1.3
Supply constraint
$1,508 rent vs county FMR
2.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Casa Grande
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Casa Grande
6.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Casa Grande
6.8
How Tamaron compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 77
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
14.2%Housing insecurity
8.7%Utility-shutoff threat
18.9%Food insecurity
11.4%SNAP enrollment
9.2%Transit barriers
16.1%No health insurance
16.6%Frequent mental distress
34.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Tamaron
33% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1.3/10.
Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 2/10. On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.2/10.
Average gross rent is $1,508, 9% above the Casa Grande average. Nationally it ranks #57,812 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Only 18% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
It tracks the Pinal County average of 3.8 closely. Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $76,504.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 04021001404
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04021001404?
Census tract 04021001404 in the Tamaron neighborhood scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04021001404?
Median gross rent is $1,508/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04021001404?
5.4% of residents in tract 04021001404 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,511.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04021001404?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 77th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 68th, household 87th, minority 73th, housing 61th.
Q5
Is tract 04021001404 considered part of Tamaron?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04021001404 fall within Tamaron (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 04021001404 struggle to pay rent?
About 14.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 04021001404 compare to Casa Grande overall?
Tract 04021001404 scores 3.5/10, lower than the parent city of Casa Grande at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Casa Grande eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Casa Grande
Top eight tracts in Casa Grande ranked by composite eviction-risk score.