Neighborhood · Ranked #4,393 of 84,120 nationally

Boal Eviction Risk: High , Chula Vista

Tract 06073013000 · San Diego, CA · pop 5,772 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

Census tract 06073013000 covers part of the Boal area of Chula Vista, CA, and scores 8.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,772 residents. Severe burden reaches 34%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score

8.9

High

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 39% Stable renters 20% Owners 41%

Tract context

Occupied units1,882

Renter share58.9%

SVI overall0.93

Poverty rate13.4%

Median income$72,700

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Chula Vista and the region

Centroid at 32.6248, -117.0798 · click any tract to drill in

Why Boal scores 8.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Chula Vista

6.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.1

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

13.4% poverty · this tract

3.4

Supply constraint

$1,962 rent vs county FMR

1.8

Rent control risk

Inherited from Chula Vista

8.1

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.9

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Chula Vista

8.1

Housing court bias

Inherited from Chula Vista

6.3

How Boal compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 93

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

86%Socioeconomic
88%Household composition
84%Racial/ethnic minority
88%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Boal. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

21.1%Housing insecurity
9.3%Utility-shutoff threat
24.6%Food insecurity
21.1%SNAP enrollment
12.0%Transit barriers
17.1%No health insurance
17.2%Frequent mental distress
32.9%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Boal

Cost burden runs around two-thirds here against 52.5% across San Diego County. Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 1.8/10. Set annual rent against average income of $72,700 and the ratio lands at 32%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.1/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.1/10.

It sits 1.3 points above the San Diego County average of 7.6. At $1,962 a month, rents run 12% under what the rest of Chula Vista commands.

Nationally it ranks #4,393 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.4/10. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.4 points hotter.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. 59% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06073013000

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073013000?

Census tract 06073013000 in the Boal neighborhood scores 8.9/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06073013000?

Median gross rent is $1,962/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06073013000?

13.4% of residents in tract 06073013000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,772.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06073013000?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 93th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 86th, household 88th, minority 84th, housing 88th.

Is tract 06073013000 considered part of Boal?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06073013000 fall within Boal (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06073013000 struggle to pay rent?

About 21.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06073013000 compare to Chula Vista overall?

Tract 06073013000 scores 8.9/10, higher than the parent city of Chula Vista at 7.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chula Vista eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chula Vista

Top eight tracts in Chula Vista ranked by composite eviction-risk score.