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Neighborhood · Ranked #4,622 of 84,120 nationally

Boal Eviction Risk: High , Chula Vista

Tract 06073013103 · San Diego, CA · pop 2,467 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Tract 06073013103 sits in the Boal area of Chula Vista eviction risk, CA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 8.8/10. Population here is 2,467. Severe burden reaches 31%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
8.8
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 30% Stable renters 23% Owners 47%
Tract context
Occupied units770
Renter share52.9%
SVI overall0.89
Poverty rate13.6%
Median income$73,333

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#3 of 4 tracts In Boal
Low
Within parent city
77 th percentile
Rank, 77th percentileLowHigh
#13 of 54 tracts In Chula Vista
High
Within county
77 th percentile
Rank, 77th percentileLowHigh
#174 of 736 tracts In San Diego
High
Within state
77 th percentile
Rank, 77th percentileLowHigh
#2,111 of 9,109 tracts In California
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chula Vista and the region

Centroid at 32.6082, -117.0915 · click any tract to drill in

Why Boal scores 8.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chula Vista
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
13.6% poverty · this tract
3.4
Supply constraint
$2,165 rent vs county FMR
2.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chula Vista
8.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chula Vista
8.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chula Vista
6.3

How Boal compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Boal risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 8.88.8This tracttract 013103Chula Vista: 7.87.8Chula Vistaparent cityCounty: 7.67.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 7.57.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 89

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Boal. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Boal

Set annual rent against average income of $73,333 and the ratio lands at 35%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. What pushes it up most is rent-regulation exposure at 8.1/10. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.1/10.

SNAP participation runs 27.3% against 15.2% nationally. It sits 1.2 points above the San Diego County average of 7.6. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 2.5/10.

Adults with no health insurance runs 19.8% against 11.3% nationally. Cost burden runs 57% here against 52.5% across San Diego County. Nationally it ranks #4,622 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Social vulnerability reads 9.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.3 points hotter.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured. Average gross rent is $2,165, close to the Chula Vista average.

53% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 06073013103

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073013103?

Census tract 06073013103 in the Boal neighborhood scores 8.8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06073013103?

Median gross rent is $2,165/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06073013103?

13.6% of residents in tract 06073013103 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,467.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06073013103?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 89th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 94th, household 33th, minority 90th, housing 90th.
Q5

Is tract 06073013103 considered part of Boal?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06073013103 fall within Boal (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06073013103 struggle to pay rent?

About 25.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06073013103 compare to Chula Vista overall?

Tract 06073013103 scores 8.8/10, higher than the parent city of Chula Vista at 7.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chula Vista eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chula Vista

Top eight tracts in Chula Vista ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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