Neighborhood · Ranked #5,413 of 84,120 nationally

Boal Eviction Risk: High , Chula Vista

Tract 06073012600 · San Diego, CA · pop 4,944 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

Tract 06073012600 sits in the Boal area of Chula Vista eviction risk, CA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 8.5/10. The severe-burden share is 27%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score

8.5

High

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 31% Stable renters 30% Owners 39%

Tract context

Occupied units1,542

Renter share61.5%

SVI overall0.97

Poverty rate11.6%

Median income$78,017

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Chula Vista and the region

Centroid at 32.6201, -117.1034 · click any tract to drill in

Why Boal scores 8.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Chula Vista

6.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.1

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

11.6% poverty · this tract

2.9

Supply constraint

$1,809 rent vs county FMR

1.3

Rent control risk

Inherited from Chula Vista

8.1

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.9

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Chula Vista

8.1

Housing court bias

Inherited from Chula Vista

6.3

How Boal compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 97

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

96%Socioeconomic
86%Household composition
92%Racial/ethnic minority
91%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Boal. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

23.5%Housing insecurity
10.2%Utility-shutoff threat
28.0%Food insecurity
24.2%SNAP enrollment
13.3%Transit barriers
19.1%No health insurance
17.9%Frequent mental distress
35.0%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Boal

Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 1.3/10. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.1/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.1/10. At $1,809 a month, rents run 19% under what the rest of Chula Vista commands. Food insecurity runs 28.0% against 17.8% nationally.

SNAP participation runs 24.2% against 15.2% nationally. Against the San Diego County average of 7.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.9 points.

That is riskier than roughly 94% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.7/10. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.0 points hotter.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 06073012600

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073012600?

Census tract 06073012600 in the Boal neighborhood scores 8.5/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06073012600?

Median gross rent is $1,809/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06073012600?

11.6% of residents in tract 06073012600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,944.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06073012600?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 97th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 86th, minority 92th, housing 91th.

Is tract 06073012600 considered part of Boal?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06073012600 fall within Boal (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06073012600 struggle to pay rent?

About 23.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06073012600 compare to Chula Vista overall?

Tract 06073012600 scores 8.5/10, higher than the parent city of Chula Vista at 7.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chula Vista eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chula Vista

Top eight tracts in Chula Vista ranked by composite eviction-risk score.