Neighborhood · Ranked #20,506 of 84,120 nationally

Winchester Square Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Springfield

Tract 25013802400 · Hampden County, MA · pop 3,658 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

Tract 25013802400 sits in the Winchester Square Historic District area of Springfield eviction risk, MA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.8/10. It is home to 3,658 residents. about a quarter of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well under the Hampden County average of 46.5%.

Risk score

5.8

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 3% Stable renters 9% Owners 88%

Tract context

Occupied units1,554

Renter share12.7%

SVI overall0.42

Poverty rate9.7%

Median income$83,991

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Springfield and the region

Centroid at 42.1020, -72.5407 · click any tract to drill in

Why Winchester Square Historic District scores 5.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Springfield

7.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.9

State political climate

Massachusetts legislature & governorship

6.2

Economic stress

9.7% poverty · this tract

2.4

Supply constraint

$1,789 rent vs county FMR

7.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Springfield

5.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

7.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Springfield

6.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Springfield

7.0

How Winchester Square Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 42

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

36%Socioeconomic
73%Household composition
53%Racial/ethnic minority
27%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Winchester Square Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

14.0%Housing insecurity
8.8%Utility-shutoff threat
16.4%Food insecurity
19.6%SNAP enrollment
9.1%Transit barriers
6.9%No health insurance
17.8%Frequent mental distress
33.7%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Winchester Square Historic District

Average gross rent is $1,789, 56% above the Springfield average. The severe-burden share is 26%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 8.5/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 2.4/10.

The voucher gap is 19.6%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 7/10. Nationally it ranks #20,506 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Only 13% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 4.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. It tracks the Hampden County average of 5.8 closely.

Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $83,991.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 25013802400

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25013802400?

Census tract 25013802400 in the Winchester Square Historic District neighborhood scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 25013802400?

Median gross rent is $1,789/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 26% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 25013802400?

9.7% of residents in tract 25013802400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,658.

How socially vulnerable is tract 25013802400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 42th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 36th, household 73th, minority 53th, housing 27th.

Is tract 25013802400 considered part of Winchester Square Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25013802400 fall within Winchester Square Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 25013802400 struggle to pay rent?

About 14.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 25013802400 compare to Springfield overall?

Tract 25013802400 scores 5.8/10, lower than the parent city of Springfield at 6.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Springfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Springfield

Top eight tracts in Springfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.