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Neighborhood · Durham, NC

Lochside Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 6,443 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.8/10 · range 3.8–3.8

Lochside maps to a single census tract in Durham, NC and houses 6,443 people. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 3.8/10, Lower tier. 50% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, well clear of the Durham rate of 29.4%.

35% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. Pulling the other way is rent-regulation exposure, at 2/10. On the softer side is economic stress, at 2.7/10.

The filing record is not thin: 2,138 evictions logged in this tract. Well under the midpoint is supply constraint, at 2.8/10. The worst year on record was 2009, when filings touched 30.8% of renter households.

The most recent observed rate, 18.3% in 2017, is well off that peak. That places it #30 of 58 neighborhoods in Durham.

The closest comparables inside the same city are Heather Glen and Woodlake. Average gross rent runs $1,465, close to the Durham average.

Annual rent works out to 20% of average household income of $86,902.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 3.8/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3.8
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Lochside vs Durham How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
50.1% +70%
Durham: 29.4%
Average gross rent
$1,465 -3%
Durham: $1,508
Average HH income
$86,902 +10%
Durham: $79,234
Poverty rate
10.8% -11%
Durham: 12.2%
Renter share
35.3% -26%
Durham: 47.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Lochside and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3.8–3.8

Why Lochside scores 3.8

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.3–2.3 across tracts
2.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.1–8.1 across tracts
8.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Rent control risk
50% of income on rent · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
35% renter households · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Economic stress
10.8% below poverty line · Range 2.7–2.7 across tracts
2.7
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.8–2.8 across tracts
2.8
Risk score comparison

Lochside vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Lochside score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.8LochsideNeighborhood4.0Parent cityhost city3.9Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Lochside

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕ Score↕ Pop↕ % over 30% on rent↕ Average rent↕
37063002025 3.8 6,443 50% $1,465
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 53

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 46%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 66%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 81%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 36%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Lochside

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 2,138Total filings (sum)
  • 30.24%Avg annual filing rate
  • 30.8%Peak year (2009)
  • 18.29%Latest filed (2017)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Lochside

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Lochside

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Lochside?

Lochside scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Lochside compare to Durham overall?

Lochside scores 0.2 points lower than Durham overall (4/10). Renters spend 50% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,465 vs $1,508.
Q3

What is the average rent in Lochside?

Average gross rent in Lochside is $1,465/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Lochside residents are renters?

35% of Lochside households are renter-occupied (vs 48% in Durham). The neighborhood has 6,443 residents.
Q5

Is Lochside a high social-vulnerability area?

Lochside sits in the 53rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Lochside for landlords?

Lochside carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.8/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Durham as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Lochside?

Lochside has 6,763 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (49.4%), White (non-Hispanic) (28.9%), Hispanic / Latino (11.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Lochside

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Durham

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Lochside.

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