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Neighborhood · Durham, NC

Lochside Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 6,443 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.8/10 · range 3.8–3.8

Lochside maps to a single census tract in Durham, NC and houses 6,443 people. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 3.8/10, Lower tier. 50% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, well clear of the Durham rate of 29.4%.

35% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. Pulling the other way is rent-regulation exposure, at 2/10. On the softer side is economic stress, at 2.7/10.

The filing record is not thin: 2,138 evictions logged in this tract. Well under the midpoint is supply constraint, at 2.8/10. The worst year on record was 2009, when filings touched 30.8% of renter households.

The most recent observed rate, 18.3% in 2017, is well off that peak. That places it #30 of 58 neighborhoods in Durham.

The closest comparables inside the same city are Heather Glen and Woodlake. Average gross rent runs $1,465, close to the Durham average.

Annual rent works out to 20% of average household income of $86,902.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 3.8/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3.8
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Lochside vs Durham How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
50.1% +70%
Durham: 29.4%
Average gross rent
$1,465 -3%
Durham: $1,508
Average HH income
$86,902 +10%
Durham: $79,234
Poverty rate
10.8% -11%
Durham: 12.2%
Renter share
35.3% -26%
Durham: 47.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Lochside and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3.8–3.8

Why Lochside scores 3.8

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.3–2.3 across tracts
2.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.1–8.1 across tracts
8.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Rent control risk
50% of income on rent · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
35% renter households · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Economic stress
10.8% below poverty line · Range 2.7–2.7 across tracts
2.7
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.8–2.8 across tracts
2.8
Risk score comparison

Lochside vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Lochside score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Lochside: 3.83.8LochsideNeighborhoodParent city: 4.04.0Parent cityhost cityState: 3.93.9Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Lochside

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
37063002025 3.8 6,443 50% $1,465
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 53

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 46%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 66%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 81%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 36%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Lochside

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 2,138Total filings (sum)
  • 30.24%Avg annual filing rate
  • 30.8%Peak year (2009)
  • 18.29%Latest filed (2017)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Lochside

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Lochside

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Lochside?

Lochside scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Lochside compare to Durham overall?

Lochside scores 0.2 points lower than Durham overall (4/10). Renters spend 50% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,465 vs $1,508.
Q3

What is the average rent in Lochside?

Average gross rent in Lochside is $1,465/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Lochside residents are renters?

35% of Lochside households are renter-occupied (vs 48% in Durham). The neighborhood has 6,443 residents.
Q5

Is Lochside a high social-vulnerability area?

Lochside sits in the 53rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Lochside for landlords?

Lochside carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.8/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Durham as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Lochside?

Lochside has 6,763 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (49.4%), White (non-Hispanic) (28.9%), Hispanic / Latino (11.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Lochside

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Durham

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Lochside.

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