1 census tracts · pop 4,752 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.9/10
· range 3.9–3.9
The Downs is a one-tract neighborhood of Durham, NC and houses 4,752 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 3.9/10, placing it in the Lower tier. The severe-burden share is 23%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.
Cost burden runs 38% against 29.4% citywide, putting The Downs 8.5% over its own city. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure, at 2/10.
On the softer side is economic stress, at 2.4/10. CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 5.6% of adults, against 14.2% nationally.
SNAP participation is 3.8% of households versus 15.2% nationally. The filing record is not thin: 812 evictions logged in this tract.
Filing activity peaked in 2009 at 8.0% of renter households. Well under the midpoint is supply constraint, at 3/10.
The most recent observed rate, 3.6% in 2017, is well off that peak. Among the 58 mapped neighborhoods of Durham, it ranks #28 by risk, the middle third.
Average gross rent runs $1,489, close to the Durham average. Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $78,191.
One tract means one number: 3.9/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
3.9
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
The Downs vs DurhamHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority39%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport29%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in The Downs
Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
812Total filings (sum)
6.03%Avg annual filing rate
8.0%Peak year (2009)
3.62%Latest filed (2017)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in The Downs
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
5.6%Housing insecurity
3.7%Utility shutoff threat
5.8%Food insecurity
3.8%SNAP enrollment
5.2%No health insurance
21.5%Any disability
Frequently asked
About The Downs
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for The Downs?
The Downs scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does The Downs compare to Durham overall?
The Downs scores 0.1 points lower than Durham overall (4/10). Renters spend 38% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,489 vs $1,508.
Q3
What is the average rent in The Downs?
Average gross rent in The Downs is $1,489/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of The Downs residents are renters?
48% of The Downs households are renter-occupied (vs 48% in Durham). The neighborhood has 4,752 residents.
Q5
Is The Downs a high social-vulnerability area?
The Downs sits in the 15th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
How safe is The Downs for landlords?
The Downs carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.9/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Durham as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q7
What is the demographic breakdown of The Downs?
The Downs has 4,883 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (73.4%), Black (non-Hispanic) (12.4%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (10.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
