Colonial Village Eviction Risk: Lower

The severe-burden share is 27%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. Pulling the other way is rent-regulation exposure, at 2/10. Well under the midpoint is supply constraint, at 2.4/10.

The filing record is not thin: 1,509 evictions logged in this tract. The worst year on record was 2006, when filings touched 44.2% of renter households.

On the softer side is economic stress, at 3/10. The most recent observed rate, 19.5% in 2017, is well off that peak.

At $1,392 a month, rents sit 8% under what the rest of Durham commands. Among the 58 mapped neighborhoods of Durham, it ranks #28 by risk, the middle third. At 25% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out.

For a like-for-like read, The Downs and Hope Valley North score within a fraction of it. Rent takes 19% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market.

One tract means one number: 3.9/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.