Homeplace III Eviction Risk: Lower

Pulling the other way is economic stress, at 1/10. Well under the midpoint is rent-regulation exposure, at 2/10.

Court records for this tract carry 810 eviction filings. SNAP participation is 4.0% of households versus 15.2% nationally.

4.1% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, below a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. The worst year on record was 2011, when filings touched 12.6% of renter households.

The most recent observed rate, 2.4% in 2017, is well off that peak. Among the 58 mapped neighborhoods of Durham, it ranks #44 by risk, the lower third.

At 15% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out. For a like-for-like read, Abron Drive and Brightwood Trails score within a fraction of it.

Against average income of $114,917, annual rent is only 16%, a wide affordability cushion. Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

One tract means one number: 3/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.